|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD trades near rising channel support

  • Gold is flirting with the lower end of a 2.5-week long-ascending channel. 
  • A breakdown would mean a continuation of the sell-of from mid-September highs. 

Gold is trading near $1,895 at press time. That level is housing the lower end or support of the trendline connecting Sept 28 and Oct 7 lows and Oct 2 and Oct 12 highs. 

The channel breakdown, if confirmed, would imply a resumption of the sell-off from the Sept 16 high of $1,973 and open the doors to the September low of $1,848.

The 14-day relative strength index is currently reporting bearish conditions with a below-50 print. As such, a downside break of the rising channel cannot be ruled out. 

On the higher side, a close above the Oct 12 high of 1,933 is needed to invalidate the bearish lower highs setup on the daily chart and expose resistance at $2,000.

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1897.2
Today Daily Change-4.56
Today Daily Change %-0.24
Today daily open1901.76
 
Trends
Daily SMA201899.36
Daily SMA501933.11
Daily SMA1001868.03
Daily SMA2001749.53
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1912.97
Previous Daily Low1882.46
Previous Weekly High1930.62
Previous Weekly Low1873.01
Previous Monthly High1992.42
Previous Monthly Low1848.82
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1901.32
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1894.11
Daily Pivot Point S11885.16
Daily Pivot Point S21868.55
Daily Pivot Point S31854.65
Daily Pivot Point R11915.67
Daily Pivot Point R21929.57
Daily Pivot Point R31946.18

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD gains traction near  0.7100 as the post-Fed USD rally pauses

AUD/USD finds fresh buyers and retakes 0.7100 in the Asian session on Thursday as the US Dollar pauses its hawkish Fed-inspired rally to its highest level since late July. However, RBA rate-hike bets and hopes for US-Iran diplomatic efforts lift risk sentiment and support the risk-sensitive Australian Dollar and the major.

USD/JPY reverses a dip below 156.00 as focus shifts to BoJ

USD/JPY is reversing a brief dip below 156.00 in the Asian session on Thursday, looking to snap a three-day winning streak to a nearly two-week top set the previous day. The US Dollar pauses following the post-Fed rally to seven-week highs, while a more hawkish repricing of the BoJ's policy normalization path supports the Japanese Yen. This keeps the pair's upside limited, with the focus now shifting to the BoJ policy decision due on Friday.

Gold: Upside appears capped by $4,400

Gold climbs sharply and clinches fresh weekly peaks on Thursday, although the bull run seems to have met some initial hurdle around the $4,400 zone per troy ounce. The yellow metal’s rebound reverses three daily declines in a row and follows the modest retracement in the US Dollar as well as another negative performance of crude oil prices.

BoE recap: A cautious stance amid rising inflation risks

The Bank of England left Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75% but delivered a distinctly hawkish message as its inflation outlook deteriorated sharply.

One hike down, more to come? The Fed’s new rate path says yes

The Federal Reserve (Fed) raised its Fed Fund Target Range (FFTR) range by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% in a unanimous decision, saying the move would support a timelier return to its 2% inflation goal.

How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.