|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD to see selling pressure once more beyond the quarter-end – OCBC

Gold managed to eke out gains last week and is now trading at its highest month to-date. Based on current levels of Treasury yields and the dollar, strategists at OCBC Bank view XAU/USD as too rich and trading above the upper band of its fair value range.

See – Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD to hover around $1850 by end-March 2022 – Deutsche Bank

Key quotes

“The yellow metal is currently supported by a rotation of funds into haven assets, but that is counteracted by the continued rise in Treasury yields and the dollar. If the latter two continue to rise, gold is likely to be pushed back down, especially after the conclusion of quarter-end.”

“Our fair value model for gold sees a trading range for gold at $1610-$1710, which implies gold is currently trading rich above its upper fair value band.” 

“We see an opportunity to short gold at current levels and will recommend taking profit at $1660, with a cut-loss threshold at $1780.”

Author

FXStreet Team

Composed of a group of economic journalists and FX experts, the FXStreet content team produces and oversees all content published on FXStreet. It provides a purely journalistic approach to the Forex market.

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD edges higher above 0.7050 as hot CPI lifts RBA rate hike odds

The AUD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.7055 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. The Australian Dollar edges higher against the US Dollar as hotter inflation data bolsters expectations of Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes. The US September Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation report will be in the spotlight later on Thursday.



USD/JPY retakes 158.00 as USD stalls the post-FOMC corrective slide

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers during the Asian session on Thursday, climbing back above 158.00 as the US Dollar reverses part of the post-FOMC pullback from a two-week high. Bulls, however, await key US macro data – the Advance Q3 GDP and the PCE Price Index – before positioning for further gains. Focus will then shift to the crucial BoJ policy update on Friday amid firming expectations for a December rate hike.

Gold remains sidelined just above $4,000

Gold leaves behind the recent three-day positive streak and faces renewed selling pressure near the $4,000 mark per troy ounce on Thursday. The precious metal’s daily decline comes amid marginal gains in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasury yields, while crude oil prices remain on the back foot.

Top Altcoins Price Forecast: Ripple and Solana under pressure as Hyperliquid recovers

Ripple is down over 2% on Thursday, extending losses below $1.30 and capped below crucial moving averages. Solana drops 2% so far, testing its 200-day EMA and the $100 psychological level amid mounting selling pressure.

BoJ preview: Hawkish hold

Having hiked rates by 25bp to 1.25% in September, the central messages from the BoJ were largely similar; upside price risks remained, real interest rates were still negative and further policy rate hikes should be expected.

Anthropic pledged $270 billion to Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. Here's who actually gets paid
Anthropic owes Amazon, Google, and Microsoft at least $269.4 billion for computing power, even if it uses less. All three sell its models and handle its billing, and Amazon and Google own stakes and lend it money, so they get paid regardless of how the IPO goes. The Dario Amodei-led Anthropic filed its initial public offering (IPO) on Monday, seeking a listing on the Nasdaq under the ticker ANT.