|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD remains trapped between key DMAs ahead of Fed week

  • Gold awaits a breakout from the recent trading range.
  • XAU/USD remains locked between 50-DMA and 200-DMA.
  • All eyes on the Fed decision and a potential US fiscal stimulus deal.

Gold (XAU/USD) resumed its bearish momentum following a brief recovery from multi-month lows sub-$1800 in the last week.

The sellers returned after the metal faced rejection at the 50-daily moving average (DMA), now at $1875.

On Wednesday, gold fell as much as 1% to near the $1825 region and spent the rest of the week meandering near the latter, with the upside attempts capped by the 21-DMA of $1841.

Gold Price Chart: Daily 

XAU/USD’s daily chart clearly shows that the price continues to oscillate in a defined range. Acceptance above the 50-DMA is critical to reviving the recovery momentum from four-month troughs of $1765.

Meanwhile, the 200-DMA support at $1809 is the level to beat for the bears. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) settled the week at 47.01, keeping the odds for additional downside alive.

Further, a failure to deliver a weekly closing above the critical short-term hurdle of 21-DMA, also suggests that more declines could be in the offing.

However, the Fed’s final monetary policy decision of this year and a likely US fiscal stimulus deal could have a significant impact on the gold price action in the week ahead.

Gold Additional levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1839.34
Today Daily Change0.00
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open1839.34
 
Trends
Daily SMA201838.62
Daily SMA501874.97
Daily SMA1001910.26
Daily SMA2001809.34
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1847.78
Previous Daily Low1824.16
Previous Weekly High1875.34
Previous Weekly Low1822.22
Previous Monthly High1965.58
Previous Monthly Low1764.6
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1838.76
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1833.18
Daily Pivot Point S11826.41
Daily Pivot Point S21813.47
Daily Pivot Point S31802.79
Daily Pivot Point R11850.03
Daily Pivot Point R21860.71
Daily Pivot Point R31873.65

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.
Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.