|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD remains trapped between key DMAs ahead of Fed week

  • Gold awaits a breakout from the recent trading range.
  • XAU/USD remains locked between 50-DMA and 200-DMA.
  • All eyes on the Fed decision and a potential US fiscal stimulus deal.

Gold (XAU/USD) resumed its bearish momentum following a brief recovery from multi-month lows sub-$1800 in the last week.

The sellers returned after the metal faced rejection at the 50-daily moving average (DMA), now at $1875.

On Wednesday, gold fell as much as 1% to near the $1825 region and spent the rest of the week meandering near the latter, with the upside attempts capped by the 21-DMA of $1841.

Gold Price Chart: Daily 

XAU/USD’s daily chart clearly shows that the price continues to oscillate in a defined range. Acceptance above the 50-DMA is critical to reviving the recovery momentum from four-month troughs of $1765.

Meanwhile, the 200-DMA support at $1809 is the level to beat for the bears. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) settled the week at 47.01, keeping the odds for additional downside alive.

Further, a failure to deliver a weekly closing above the critical short-term hurdle of 21-DMA, also suggests that more declines could be in the offing.

However, the Fed’s final monetary policy decision of this year and a likely US fiscal stimulus deal could have a significant impact on the gold price action in the week ahead.

Gold Additional levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1839.34
Today Daily Change0.00
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open1839.34
 
Trends
Daily SMA201838.62
Daily SMA501874.97
Daily SMA1001910.26
Daily SMA2001809.34
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1847.78
Previous Daily Low1824.16
Previous Weekly High1875.34
Previous Weekly Low1822.22
Previous Monthly High1965.58
Previous Monthly Low1764.6
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1838.76
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1833.18
Daily Pivot Point S11826.41
Daily Pivot Point S21813.47
Daily Pivot Point S31802.79
Daily Pivot Point R11850.03
Daily Pivot Point R21860.71
Daily Pivot Point R31873.65

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD holds gains above 1.1400 on hawkish ECB expectations despite US-Iran tensions

The EUR/USD pair trades with mild gains around 1.1405 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. A hawkish tone from the European Central Bank provides some support to the Euro against the US Dollar. Traders await the upcoming ECB interest rate decision on Thursday. 

Gold: Strong recovery might face roadblock as oil price extends gains

Gold price extends its winning streak for the third trading day on Wednesday, trading 1.5% higher to near $4,140 during the Asian session. The precious metal recovered strongly in the past few trading days from its three-week low of $3,959.80 as traders scaled back Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike expectations for the monetary policy meeting next week.

The market runs back into AI despite higher Oil and yields
World stocks surged as traders made a spirited return to the market’s commanding centre of gravity, piling back into semiconductors, AI leaders and momentum, with the enthusiasm of a crowd rushing through the one door it still trusts. The Nasdaq led Wall Street higher, semiconductor shares jumped more than 5%, and momentum staged its strongest rebound in years.
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.