Global macro: Growth resilience and policy risks – BNY

BNY’s Bob Savage emphasizes that, despite improved risk sentiment from geopolitical de-escalation, investors remain focused on central bank policy and global growth resilience. Markets are assessing ECB tightening, upcoming Fed and BoJ decisions and the prospect of higher-for-longer interest rates. China’s outlook is supported by external demand and stable ratings, yet equity outflows and defensive bond buying signal lingering caution.

Balancing optimism and caution

"Despite the positive geopolitical backdrop, investors remain focused on central bank policy, global growth trends and whether improving sentiment can overcome persistent concerns around inflation, rates and capital flows."

"Markets are continuing to assess the implications of ECB tightening, the upcoming Fed and BoJ decisions and the risk of higher-for-longer global interest rates."

"While China’s outlook remains supported by external demand and stable ratings, continued equity outflows and defensive bond buying highlight lingering concerns over global growth and market durability."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)