|

Germany’s final Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices for May remains at 2.7% YoY: What it means for EUR/USD?

Germany’s final Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data for May has arrived at 2.7% Year-on-Year (YoY), as the preliminary data showed. The inflation data cooled down from 2.9% in April. On a monthly basis, it is confirmed that the German HICP growth declined by 0.1%.

There is a slight recovery move in the EUR/USD data, following the German final HICP data release; however, it appears that the move has come due to a slight correction in the US Dollar (USD). Still, the major currency pair is down 0.15% to near 1.1560.

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the weakest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.10%0.06%0.19%0.06%0.20%0.29%0.13%
EUR-0.10%-0.05%0.09%-0.04%0.11%0.19%0.02%
GBP-0.06%0.05%0.15%0.01%0.12%0.23%0.08%
JPY-0.19%-0.09%-0.15%-0.15%-0.01%0.08%-0.08%
CAD-0.06%0.04%-0.01%0.15%0.14%0.22%0.07%
AUD-0.20%-0.11%-0.12%0.01%-0.14%0.07%-0.08%
NZD-0.29%-0.19%-0.23%-0.08%-0.22%-0.07%-0.14%
CHF-0.13%-0.02%-0.08%0.08%-0.07%0.08%0.14%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

What do Germany’s final HICP data mean for EUR/USD?

The impact of Germany’s final HICP data remains little on EUR/USD, unless there is a dramatic deviation. The major trigger for the major currency pair remains preliminary readings.

Meanwhile, the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy announcement on Thursday, in which it raised the Deposit Facility rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 2.25%, signaled that policymakers remained highly concerned about upside inflation risks due to elevated energy prices in the wake of Middle East conflicts.

ECB President Christine Lagarde said in the press conference, post the monetary policy announcement, "Short-term inflation expectations have risen,” and the central bank will “monitor size, persistence of energy price increase".

Technical Analysis:

EUR/USD trades lower at around 1.1560, keeping a bearish bias as spot holds beneath the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.1603 and the broader downtrend resistance line near 1.1687. The pair is still riding an underlying ascending support structure from 1.1503, but the latest Relative Strength Index (14) reading around 42 suggests sellers retain the near-term initiative while any rebounds are likely to struggle against overhead supply.

On the topside, initial resistance is located at the 20-period EMA around 1.1603, with the descending trend-line resistance at 1.1687 acting as the next barrier if buyers manage a clearer bounce. On the downside, the first key support emerges at the rising trend-line break level near 1.1503; a daily close below this floor would expose it to the March 13 low at 1.1411.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Economic Indicator

Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)

The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), released by the German statistics office Destatis on a monthly basis, is an index of inflation based on a statistical methodology that has been harmonized across all European Union (EU) member states to facilitate comparisons. The YoY reading compares prices in the reference month to a year earlier. Generally, a high reading is bullish for the Euro (EUR), while a low reading is bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Fri Jun 12, 2026 06:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 2.7%

Consensus: 2.7%

Previous: 2.7%

Source: Federal Statistics Office of Germany

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD pulls away from daily highs, tests 1.3300

GBP/USD reverses its direction and trades in the red near 1.3300 in the second half of the day on Monday after starting the week on a bullish note. Falling crude Oil prices following a pause in the Middle East conflict limits the US Dollar's gains and helps the pair hold its ground for the time being.

EUR/USD struggles to hold above 1.1400 as markets focus on Middle East

EUR/USD loses its bullish momentum and trades with small gains below 1.1400 in the second half of the day on Monday. Market participants remain hopeful for a de-escalation of the conflict in the Middle East following a pause in strikes but there is still uncertainty about whether the US and Iran will be able to find a diplomatic solution.

Gold is looking for direction around $4,100
Gold (XAU/USD) has been consolidating gains during the European trading session, following a bullish gap at the week’s opening as a moderate improvement of risk sentiment hurt the safe-haven USD. A pause in the US-Iran hostilities has boosted hopes of a second round of peace talks, sending Oil prices about $10 lower from last week’s peak and pushing US Treasury yields lower.
Bitcoin holds above key support amid ETF inflows, US-Iran bombing pause
Bitcoin (BTC) holds above the key 200-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) around $63,500, having posted four consecutive weeks of gains. Institutional demand shows mild signs of improvement with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) posting inflows for a third consecutive week.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC holds above key support amid ETF inflows, US-Iran bombing pause
Bitcoin (BTC) holds above the key 200-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) around $63,500, having posted four consecutive weeks of gains. Institutional demand shows mild signs of improvement with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) posting inflows for a third consecutive week.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.