|

GBP/USD pulls back after multi-month high – BBH

GBP/USD slipped from recent highs as UK retail price data confirmed ongoing deflation in shop prices, despite a pickup in food inflation. With services inflation easing and economic risks mounting, the Bank of England is expected to cut rates by 25bps next week, with markets anticipating a full percentage point of easing over the coming year, BBH FX analysts report.

UK shop prices still in deflation despite food price rise

"GBP/USD retreated from yesterday’s multi-month high at 1.3444. UK retail outlet price pressure still in deflation. The BRC shop price index fell -0.1% y/y in April (consensus: -0.2%) vs. -0.4% in March. The breakdown showed food price inflation quickening while the decline in non-food prices eased."

"The Bank of England (BOE) has room to resume easing policy next month because downside risk to the UK economy is growing and services inflation is cooling. Markets have fully priced-in a 25bps rate cut at the next May 8 meeting and 100bps of total easing over the next 12 months."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).