|

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Steadies at around 1.2600

  • GBP/USD remains flat, with potential for movement pending UK economic updates and Fed speakers.
  • Technicals suggest vulnerability to further downside if 1.2600 support breaks, with next key levels at 1.2596 and 1.2445.
  • A move above 1.2696 could test resistance at 1.2700, with significant upside resistance at the 200-day SMA of 1.2817.

The GBP/USD fluctuates, yet it remains virtually unchanged at the beginning of the week as UK traders await the release of UK inflation figures and Retail Sales data. In the meantime, aside from Fed speakers, a scarce economic docket in the US might pave the way for some consolidation on the major. The pair trades at 1.2628, flat.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The breach of the August 8 daily low of 1.2664 opened the door for further GBP&USD downside. Although the pair has reclaimed the 1.2600 figure, sellers remain in charge. If bears push the exchange rate below 1.2600, the next support would be a November 15 swing low of 1.2596. Once surpassed, the next stop would be the May 9 low of .12445.

On the other hand, if GBP/USD climbs past the November 15 high of 1.2696, 1.2700 will follow. Further upside is seen above 1.2800, with the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) standing at the crucial support level of 1.2817.

Oscillators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) give buyers the upper hand in the short term. However, the RSI remains bearish below its neutral line, putting a lid on GBP/USD upside.

GBP/USD Price Chart – Daily

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.28%-0.09%0.40%-0.16%-0.23%0.09%-0.25%
EUR0.28% 0.34%0.77%0.22%0.20%0.48%0.14%
GBP0.09%-0.34% 0.45%-0.11%-0.14%0.14%-0.21%
JPY-0.40%-0.77%-0.45% -0.57%-0.57%-0.26%-0.58%
CAD0.16%-0.22%0.11%0.57% -0.05%0.25%-0.09%
AUD0.23%-0.20%0.14%0.57%0.05% 0.29%-0.05%
NZD-0.09%-0.48%-0.14%0.26%-0.25%-0.29% -0.33%
CHF0.25%-0.14%0.21%0.58%0.09%0.05%0.33% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold stalls recovery from three-month low as Fed hike bets and USD uptick cap gains

Gold struggles to capitalize on a modest intraday bounce from levels below the $4,000 psychological mark, or a three-month low set during the Asian session, and sticks to a negative tone for the second straight day. The Federal Reserve recently signaled that there is no urgency to raise interest rates. Traders, however, are still pricing in around an 80% chance that the US central bank will raise borrowing costs again at its December policy meeting.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple rebound as major support levels cap recent sell-off

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple rebound modestly on Friday after correcting and testing their key support zone the previous day. BTC holds the 50-day EMA, ETH finds support around the 100-day EMA, while XRP holds the horizontal floor near $1.300. The price action of these top three cryptocurrencies suggests a recovery if this critical support zone holds; a decisive close below these levels suggests a deeper correction.

The week ahead – UK budget, Shell, BP and HSBC and NatWest results
Financial markets have undergone another turbulent week with concerns about public sector debt levels, the impact of energy policy and higher oil and gas prices, and what events in France might mean for the UK economy going forward.
What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.