|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Slumps for four days as high US bond yields bolster USD

  • GBP/USD drops to 1.2458 and puts the 200-day Moving Average at 1.2424 in focus.
  • Short-term outlook shows the pair eyeing the week’s low at 1.2455, with a breach potentially targeting the S2 daily pivot at 1.2413.
  • A reclaim of the 1.2500 level could signal a bullish reversal, with the next resistance at the 200-hour Moving Average at 1.2593.

The Pound Sterling (GBP) extended its free fall for four straight days versus the US Dollar (USD) due to high US bond yields underpinning the Greenback. The GBP/USD is trading at 1.2458 after hitting a daily high of 1.2514, as sellers set their sights on technical support to prolong their profits.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

After breaking an upslope support trendline drawn from around May lows, the major dropped below the psychological 1.2500 figure, which exposed the 200-day Moving Average (DMA) at 1.2424. A breach of the latter would shift the pair’s bias to neutral downwards and expose the May 25 swing low at 1.2308, a crucial support area. That could break the uptrend market structure and pave the way for further losses.

Short-term, the GPB/USD hourly chart shows an attempt by buyers to reclaim the 1.2500 figure. AS buyers failed, the pair dived towards the session’s lows, below Friday’s central pivot point, eyeing the week’s low at 1.2455. A breach of the latter could expose the S2 daily pivot at 1.2413, followed by the 1.2400 mark. Conversely, if traders reclaim 1.2500, that could open the door for further upside, with traders eyeing the 200-hour Moving Average (HMA) at 1.2593 before challenging 1.2600.

GBP/USD Price Action – Hourly chart

GBP/USD

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2463
Today Daily Change-0.0009
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open1.2472
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2655
Daily SMA501.2766
Daily SMA1001.2655
Daily SMA2001.2426
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2509
Previous Daily Low1.2446
Previous Weekly High1.2746
Previous Weekly Low1.2563
Previous Monthly High1.2841
Previous Monthly Low1.2548
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.247
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2485
Daily Pivot Point S11.2442
Daily Pivot Point S21.2413
Daily Pivot Point S31.2379
Daily Pivot Point R11.2505
Daily Pivot Point R21.2539
Daily Pivot Point R31.2568

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).