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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Drops below the 100-DMA as bears eye 1.2000

  • Since last Thursday, the GBP/USD has lost more than 3% as the US Dollar strengthened.
  • GBP/USD Price Analysis: Daily close below the 100-DMA would exacerbate a test of 1.2000.

The Pound Sterling (GBP) capped its fall against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday at around the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2028, though the GBP/USD remains below the latter. That said, a GBP/USD daily close would keep bears hopeful of testing the 1.2000 figure. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD hovers around 1.2024 after hitting a daily high of 1.2077.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

Since last Thursday, after the Bank of England (BoE) raised rates by 50 bps, lifting the Bank Rate to 4%, the GBP/USD collapsed by 1.20%. Then it was followed by last Friday’s US jobs data, which exerted downward pressure, sending the GBP/USD into a tailspin, plummeting more than 150 pips in the session toward the 1.2050 area.

All that said, the technical outlook is tilted to the downside. Oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Rate of Change (RoC0 turned bearish. The latter shows that sellers are gathering strong momentum, posing a threat to crack the psychological 1.2000.

If the GBP/USD breaks below 1.20, that would open the door for further downside. Once cleared, GBP/USD’s next support would be 1.1900, followed by a two-month-old upslope trendline that passes at around 1.1880-1.1900 and then the YTD Low at 1.1841.

GBP/USD Key Technical Levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2019
Today Daily Change-0.0031
Today Daily Change %-0.26
Today daily open1.205
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2289
Daily SMA501.219
Daily SMA1001.1804
Daily SMA2001.1955
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2266
Previous Daily Low1.205
Previous Weekly High1.2418
Previous Weekly Low1.205
Previous Monthly High1.2448
Previous Monthly Low1.1841
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2132
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2183
Daily Pivot Point S11.1979
Daily Pivot Point S21.1907
Daily Pivot Point S31.1763
Daily Pivot Point R11.2194
Daily Pivot Point R21.2337
Daily Pivot Point R31.2409

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

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