|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Drops below 1.2900 amid strong US data

  • GBP/USD dips to 1.2881, marking third day of losses, after peaking at 1.2913.
  • Seller momentum strong as RSI falls, suggesting more downside potential.
  • Key supports at 1.2860; below targets 1.2800, 50-DMA at 1.2773. Resistance at 1.2940 critical for bullish turn.

The Pound Sterling dropped below 1.2900 for the third consecutive day, edged lower 0.17%, and traded at 1.2881 after hitting a daily high of 1.2913. Data from the UK wasn’t better than expected, while an outstanding growth report from the US bolstered the Greenback.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

From a technical standpoint, the GBP/USD continues to edge lower, though sellers are encountering tough times clearing the June 12 peak at 1.2860, which turned support once cleared.

However, momentum remains on the seller's side, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) extends its drop after exiting overbought territory, approaching the 50-neutral line.

For a bullish continuation, the GBP/USD must reclaim 1.2900. This would pave the way to remaining range-bound within the 1.2900-1.2940 area unless the latter is broken, exposing the 1.3000 figure. Further upside is seen above that level, with the year-to-date (YTD) high at 1.3043.

 Conversely, and the path of least resistance short term, the GBP/USD first support would be 1.2860. Once surpassed, the next stop would be 1.2800, followed by the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 1.2773.

GBP/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.18%0.19%0.00%0.10%0.46%0.49%-0.57%
EUR0.18% 0.38%0.18%0.29%0.65%0.68%-0.41%
GBP-0.19%-0.38% -0.18%-0.07%0.28%0.29%-0.78%
JPY0.00%-0.18%0.18% 0.11%0.47%0.47%-0.58%
CAD-0.10%-0.29%0.07%-0.11% 0.36%0.38%-0.69%
AUD-0.46%-0.65%-0.28%-0.47%-0.36% 0.04%-1.05%
NZD-0.49%-0.68%-0.29%-0.47%-0.38%-0.04% -1.08%
CHF0.57%0.41%0.78%0.58%0.69%1.05%1.08% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY holds pullback from 161.80 on hawkish BoJ-speak

USD/JPY is holding above 161.00 in the Asian session on Friday, on a retreat from its highest level since July 2024 set the previous day. Hawkish BoJ commentary and April Minutes affirm further rate hike expectations, offsetting the softer Japanese National CPI print and support the Japanese Yen as intervention fears loom.

AUD/USD attacks 0.7000 amid stronger US Dollar

AUD/USD attacks 0.7000 in the Asian session on Friday, remaining close to the weekly low, and seems poised to register modest weekly losses. The US Dollar sits near its highest level since May 2025 as the Fed's hawkish tilt overshadows optimism over the US-Iran peace deal, weighing on the pair.

Gold sits at weekly lows below $4,200 as Fed's hawkish tilt boosts USD

Gold falls for the third consecutive day and weakens below $4,200, sitting at a fresh weekly low in the Asian session on Friday. Despite the latest optimism over a US-Iran peace deal, the Fed's hawkish tilt helps the US Dollar preserve its strong weekly gains to over a yearly high, undermining the non-yielding bullion.

Economics week ahead
Consumer resilience is holding for now, but underlying fundamentals continue to erode. Incoming data—like control group retail sales and higher-frequency card data—point to a solid nominal consumption backdrop in May.
 Back above 100: Kevin Warsh’s first Fed meeting sparks US Dollar rally

The US Dollar Index did a phoenix comeback, rising from its ashes and reconquering 100. The reasons behind the US Dollar rally are pretty clear: the Memorandum of Understanding between the United States and Iran, and a hawkish Federal Reserve. Both events were long-awaited and much expected. However, the market reacted with surprise when there were no surprises at all.

The next big AI trade may not be about chips or software

Artificial intelligence has already created some of the biggest winners in modern market history. Chipmakers have surged, data centre construction is booming, and electricity demand forecasts are changing globally.