|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: 1.3650 support remains in focus ahead of a 61.8% Fib retracement

  • GBP/USD bears seeking a restest of the structure. 
  • A confluence of the 38.2% Fibo, 21-moving average and structure is compelling support. 

As per the prior analysis, GBP/USD Price Analysis: Bears seeking the next corrective leg to the downside, the price did indeed melt to the downside, however, only to spike bac to test the highest resistance within the latest downtrend.

Prior analysis, 4-hour

Live market, 4-hour

As seen, the price dropped to create new resistance structure for which the market simply burst through on the day before testing a more defined dynamic counter-trendline resistance as follows:

The price has a high probability of moving in firmly on the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and a confluence of the 21-moving average that meets structure around the psychological and round 1.3650 level.

1-hour chart

The price has already reached a 38.2% Fibo of the move, so there is every chance that the price can continue higher and taken the bear's commitments at trendline resistance on a break beyond the recent highs. 

Nevertheless, a re-run of the level and break thereof could open the way for a deeper correction all the way to the trendline support and a 61.8% Fibonacci support level. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hangs near three-week low, below 0.6950 as traders await US NFP report

AUD/USD hits a three-week low during the Asian session on Friday as the RBA’s dovish shift and a rout in equity markets weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, the recent slump in US bond yields to a two-month low keeps US Dollar bulls on the back foot and limits losses for the currency pair as traders look to the US NFP report for a fresh impetus.

USD/JPY bounces off three-week low; keeps the red near 157.65 as focus remains on US NFP

USD/JPY bounces off the weekly low set during the Asian session, as bears turn cautious ahead of the US NFP report due later this Friday. The upside seems limited as the recent slump in US bond yields and hopes of Iran war de-escalation undermine the US Dollar. Moreover, a hawkish BoJ and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, capping the pair.

Gold loses the grip; $4,000 comes next on the downside

Gold sets aside two daily advances in a row on Friday, opening the door to a potential test of the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal’s retracement follows a decent improvement in the sentiment surrounding the US Dollar, solid NFP data and higher US Treasury yields across the board.

Democrats win House and Senate in US midterms: Why isn’t all bad news for crypto

The biggest story this week was Tuesday’s US midterm elections, which saw Democrats win control of both the House and the Senate in a clear blue wave. This political shift in the US has triggered sharp price swings across the cryptocurrency market.

Week ahead – Inflation and geopolitics in focus as US political landscape shifts

Post-midterm election euphoria fizzles out as risk aversion prevails. US CPI, PPI and Fedspeak on the radar as Fed hike bets remain supported. Oil retreat pauses on mixed hopes about the ongoing conflicts.

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.