GBP to strengthen against the USD in 2023 – HSBC

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

Recently, the British Pound has rallied largely alongside risk appetite. As the external backdrop is set to improve, economists at HSBC expect the GBP to strengthen against the USD in 2023.

GBP outperformance, despite challenging UK outlook

“The prospect of a fiscal deficit of around 5% of GDP next year is likely to keep structural concerns about the GBP to the fore, but at least the situation is not set to get worse. This may be enough to support a currency that has weakened so much already, especially as there are early signs that the trade balance has begun to improve.”

“The domestic situation is likely to remain challenging, but external sentiment has been the dominant factor for the GBP in recent years. In an environment where global growth bottoms out, rate volatility peaks, and risk sentiment picks up, the GBP is likely to benefit in 2023.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

GBP/USD holds range near 1.3500 after UK Q2 GDP beat

GBP/USD keeps its range near the 1.3500 psychological mark in the European session on Thursday. The UK GDP data beat estimates across the time horizon but failed to inspire the British Pound. Meanwhile, the US Dollar stabilizes after the US CPI data-led sell-off, checking any upside attempts in the pair.

EUR/USD flatlines above 1.1500 as US Dollar stablizes ahead of PPI

EUR/USD is trading modestly flat above 1.1500 in European trading hours on Thursday. The pair stalls its rebound as the US Dollar consolidates losses incurred after the release of July's Consumer Price Index report. Inflation in the US moderated across a broad range of goods and services, cooling expectations for an aggressive Federal Reserve rate hike in September and weighing on the Greenback. The US PPI data is next in focus.

Gold weakens further below $4,400 as USD sticks to gains amid Fed bets, Iran tensions

Gold extends its intraday retracement slide from the highest level since June 5, around the $4,450 area touched earlier this Thursday, and slides further below the $4,400 mark heading into the European session. The initial market reaction to signs of moderating US inflation fades quickly as investors remain worried that higher energy prices will rekindle inflationary pressures.

XRP holds at make-or-break level, ADA and SOL risk 50-day EMA breakout

Top altcoins, including Ripple, Cardano, and Solana, are facing downside pressure, holding at crucial support levels. The technical outlook for XRP, ADA, and SOL indicates a mild bearish bias as downside pressure mounts.

Gold has priced a Fed pause. The hike is still coming

July inflation landed exactly where the consensus had it, on all four lines of the release, and Gold responded by adding around 1% and holding fast near $4,400/ounce, trading at its highest since early June. A print that surprises nobody is not supposed to move a metal that far.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?

Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.