|

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Rallies and hits 18-year highs above 217.00

  • GBP/JPY clears YTD high, confirming bullish breakout above 217.00.
  • RSI nears overbought territory, hinting at short-term consolidation risk.
  • Break above 217.50 exposes 218.00 and 220.00 resistance levels.

The British Pound rallies to an 18-year high against the Japanese Yen, registering solid gains of over 0.77% as the GBP/JPY clears the previous year-to-date (YTD) high of 216.60 as the cross-pair clears the 217.00 figure for the first time since January 2008. At the time of writing, the GBP/JPY trades at 217.11.

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The GBP/JPY formed a ‘bullish harami’ chart pattern on Friday, also known in the West as an ‘inside day’, which opened the door for further upside, once the pair cleared the July 2 high of the day (HOD) at 216.08, which exacerbated the leg-up past the 217.00 milestone.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains bullish, as the index aims upwards, closing to overbought territory at the 70 level. This can pave the way for some consolidation before the uptrend continues.

The path of least resistance for the GBP/JPY is upwards. The first resistance is the 217.50 area. Above this level, the next stop would be the 218.00 figure, followed by the 220.00 psychological level.

Conversely, for a bearish reversal, the GBP/JPY must drop below the 215.00 psychological level, followed by the July 3 low of the day (LOD) at 214.72. On further weakness, the next area of interest would be the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 214.09, followed by the 100-day SMA at 213.17.

GBP/JPY Chart - Daily

GBP/JPY daily chart

Japanese Yen Price This week

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies this week. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.02%-0.02%-0.02%0.02%0.01%-0.00%0.01%
EUR0.02%-0.01%0.00%0.05%-0.01%-0.01%0.00%
GBP0.02%0.00%0.02%0.07%0.01%0.02%0.02%
JPY0.02%0.00%-0.02%0.03%-0.04%-0.03%-0.04%
CAD-0.02%-0.05%-0.07%-0.03%-0.00%-0.06%-0.04%
AUD-0.01%0.00%-0.01%0.04%0.00%0.00%-0.02%
NZD0.00%0.01%-0.02%0.03%0.06%-0.01%-0.00%
CHF-0.01%-0.01%-0.02%0.04%0.04%0.02%0.00%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD dips below 1.3350 with bullish momentum losing steam

The British Pound ticks lower against the US Dollar Monday, attempting to close a seven-day rally, as tensions rise again in the Strait of Hormuz, one of the critical points in the peace process between Washington and Tehran. The GBP/USD pair trades near 1.3340 at the time of writing, down from 1.3387 highs last week, although it maintains a near-term bullish trend intact.

EUR/USD clings to daily gains, still below 1.1450

EUR/USD manages to shrug off the initial bearish tone and advances toward the 1.1440-1.1450 band on Monday, up modestly for the day. Meanwhile, the pair’s mild gains comes on the back of the lack of clear direction in the Greenback in quite an apathetic start to the week.

Gold remains offered below $4,200

Gold comes under fresh downside pressure on Monday, reversing three daily upticks in a row and meeting some initial resistance around the $4,200 mark per troy ounce. Safe-haven demand has shifted toward the US Dollar as renewed tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz weigh on market sentiment, limiting the precious metal's upside.

XRP extends decline as risk-off sentiment, fading retail demand weigh
Ripple (XRP) sustains losses on Monday, edging lower toward the short-term $1.10 support. XRP failed to sustain momentum above $1.20 on the previous day, prompting profit-taking amid a broader crypto market drawdown attributed to mild inflows into related digital investment products, declining retail participation and macroeconomic uncertainty.
The US Dollar just beat the Swiss Franc at its own safe-haven game

As the king among safe havens, the Swiss Franc is supposed to benefit from geopolitical shocks such as the Iran war. This time, it didn’t. The Swissie is nearly 6% below January’s peak against the USD after a sharp decline that came along with the war in Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.