GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Ascending triangle puts YTD high in play

GBP/JPY forms ascending triangle near yearly highs.
RSI clears 50, signaling bullish momentum is accelerating.
Break above 215.00 exposes 216.00 and 216.60 resistance.

Christian Borjon Valencia FXStreet

The Pound Sterling advances against the Japanese Yen on Monday, up 0.59% amid fears for a possible intervention by Japanese authorities in the foreign exchange markets. At the time of writing, the GBP/JPY trades at 214.78, bouncing off daily lows of 213.41.

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Technical Outlook

The cross-pair consolidates near the year highs, forming an ‘ascending triangle’, which could open the door for further upside. The GBP/JPY has reclaimed the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 214.06, which has exacerbated the rally towards the current spot price of 215.00.

Momentum, as measured by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), turned bullish exponentially, clearing the 50-neutral level and heading toward the 55.00 mark. The path of least resistance is tilted to the upside, if not for the potential intervention.

The first resistance for GBP/JPY would be 215.00. A breach of the latter will expose the 215.40-215.50 area ahead of 216.00. Above this area, the next resistance is the year-to-date (YTD) high at 216.60.

Downwards, the first support is the 50-day SMA at 214.06. If breached, the next support would be the 213.00 mark ahead of the 100-day SMA at 212.83.

GBP/JPY Price Chart – Daily

Japanese Yen Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

	USD	EUR	GBP	JPY	CAD	AUD	NZD	CHF
USD		-0.33%	-0.41%	0.10%	0.11%	0.11%	-0.27%	-0.31%
EUR	0.33%		-0.11%	0.46%	0.46%	0.47%	0.10%	0.05%
GBP	0.41%	0.11%		0.51%	0.52%	0.52%	0.15%	0.19%
JPY	-0.10%	-0.46%	-0.51%		0.00%	-0.00%	-0.32%	-0.41%
CAD	-0.11%	-0.46%	-0.52%	-0.01%		0.00%	-0.32%	-0.44%
AUD	-0.11%	-0.47%	-0.52%	0.00%	-0.00%		-0.37%	-0.34%
NZD	0.27%	-0.10%	-0.15%	0.32%	0.32%	0.37%		-0.03%
CHF	0.31%	-0.05%	-0.19%	0.41%	0.44%	0.34%	0.03%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

FXStreet

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

GBP/USD surges to multi-day peaks past 1.3250

GBP/USD leaves behind Friday’s small pullback and advances past 1.3250 level, or five-day highs, on Monday. Cable’s upside follows extra losses in the Greenback, while traders continue to assess the geopolitical front and upcoming key events.

EUR/USD picks up extra pace north of 1.1400

EUR/USD extends its recovery past 1.1400 the figure as the NA session draws to a close on Monday. Indeed, the pair advances for the third straight day amid the persistent offered bias in the US Dollar. Meanwhile, market participants keep gearing up for the ECB Forum in Sintra and the release of critical US labour market data.

Gold struggles to attract investors

Gold remains under marked selling pressure, holding on just above the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the beginning of the week. The precious metal reverses two daily advances in a row as renewed effervescence in the Middle East revive inflation concerns and bolster Fed rate hike expectations.

Strategy unveils plan allowing Bitcoin sales to fund stock buybacks, dividends and reserves

Strategy (MSTR) has unveiled a Digital Credit Framework to strengthen the company’s financial standing. Under the new framework, the world’s largest corporate holder of Bitcoin (BTC) will pivot from its previous accumulation strategy, opting to sell BTC in order to boost liquidity, fund dividend payments, execute stock buybacks, and strengthen cash reserves.

Just like Fed, is BoJ’s independence under threat?

When talking about central bank independence, most of the focus has been on Donald Trump’s pressure on the Federal Reserve. But a similar story, a quieter one for now, seems to be happening on the other side of the Pacific: Japan’s government may be testing the Bank of Japan’s independence.

Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of Sintra this week. The ECB Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Fed, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.