|

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Pound recovery hits resistance at 211.45

  • GBP/JPY picks up on risk appetite but remains capped below 211.45.
  • Hopes of a peace deal in Iran have triggered a moderate sentiment improvement.
  • Yen downside attempts remain limited, as intervention risks loom.

The Pound (GBP) is trading higher against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Monday, favoured by a moderate optimism amid news of a peace plan to end the war in Iran. The pair, however, remains capped below the 211.45 resistance area so far, although technical indicators are popping up into bullish territory.

News that  Iran and the US have received the framework of a plan for a 45-day ceasefire that might end the hostilities immediately and reopen the Strait of Hormuz has been welcomed by the market. Investors have responded by selling safe-haven assets like the US Dollar for the benefit of riskier-perceived assets like the Pound.

Nevertheless, traders are wary of placing significant Yen shorts. The USD/JPY remains relatively close to 160.00 a level which, according to market speculation, might unleash an intervention by Tokyo authorities to stem undesired JPY weakness.

Chart Analysis GBP/JPY

GBP/JPY shows a mildly bullish trend, after bouncing at 209.64 lows in late March, with the highest lows posted last week. A bullish engulfing candle in the daily chart might strengthen the case of a deeper correction if the pair closes the day beyond 211.45.

Technical indicators in the 4-hour chart show an improved momentum, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stabilizing just above the 50 mark and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line remaining in positive territory.

Price action suggests that we might be in the C-D leg of a Gartley pattern, targeting beyond the mentioned 211.45 resistance area to the area between the March 24 and 27 lows, at 212.30, and the 78.2% Fibonacci retracement of the late-March sell-off, at 212.55.

To the downside, immediate support is the April 2 low, at 210.35, ahead of the mentioned March 31 low, at 209.64.

(This story was corrected on April 6 at 11:55 GMT to say April 2 low was 210.35, not 212.35.)

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Pound Sterling Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.24%-0.31%-0.06%-0.19%-0.47%-0.50%-0.22%
EUR0.24%-0.05%0.15%0.07%-0.24%-0.28%-0.01%
GBP0.31%0.05%0.19%0.09%-0.18%-0.23%0.07%
JPY0.06%-0.15%-0.19%-0.10%-0.41%-0.45%-0.17%
CAD0.19%-0.07%-0.09%0.10%-0.28%-0.32%-0.04%
AUD0.47%0.24%0.18%0.41%0.28%-0.05%0.24%
NZD0.50%0.28%0.23%0.45%0.32%0.05%0.30%
CHF0.22%0.00%-0.07%0.17%0.04%-0.24%-0.30%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eases from one-month high; holds above 0.7000 amid softer USD

AUD/USD pulls back slightly after hitting a fresh one-month high in the Asian session on Monday as bulls turn cautious ahead of the latest Australian consumer inflation figures and the crucial FOMC decision later this week. Meanwhile, expectations of another RBA rate hike in November support the Aussie. Moreover, a softer US Dollar helps the currency pair hold above the 0.7000 psychological mark.

USD/JPY extends recovery from one-month low beyond 157.00

USD/JPY kicks off the week on a positive note, building on Friday's modest bounce from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low amid some repositioning ahead of key central bank events and data risks. The Fed and the BoJ will announce their policy decisions on Wednesday and Friday, respectively. This, along with the release of Advance US Q3 GDP and the PCE Price Index on Thursday, should provide some meaningful impetus to the currency pair.

Gold struggles below $4,000 as oil-driven inflation fears reaffirm Fed hike bets

Gold attracts follow-through selling at the start of the new week, trading below $4,000 during the Asian session and near a three-month low. Higher energy prices continue to fuel inflation fears and reinforce US rate-hike expectations, undermining the non-yielding bullion. Bears, however, might refrain from placing aggressive bets ahead of the crucial FOMC meeting and other key central bank events this week.

Week ahead: Central bank and earnings bonanza could roil markets

After joining the rate-hike club in September, the Federal Reserve looks set to stand pat in October, waiting to assess more data before deciding to hike again. Whilst this isn’t an unusual move for a central bank, it somewhat contradicts Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s new mantra of data dependency and zero forward guidance.

CFTC Report: WTI rally runs ahead of positioning
The week in one sentence: WTI prices surged while speculative longs were cut in the week to October 20, creating the clearest price/positioning divergence. Sterling and the Canadian Dollar led the constructive currency shift, while Yen longs also rebuilt. Speculators turned less constructive on the WTI, reducing their net exposure to around 89.3K contracts.
What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.