|

Forex Today: US Nonfarm Payrolls take centre stage

The US Dollar (USD) has added to Wednesday’s pullback, receding to multi-day lows and breaching below its key 200-day SMA. The marked retracement has almost exclusively followed rising market chatter over an imminent rate hike by the BoJ, relegating persistent geopolitical concerns and caution ahead of NFP data to the back burner.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, September 4:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has built on its previous day’s losses and broken below the 99.00 support level, leaving behind its significant 200-day SMA at the same time. The Nonfarm Payrolls will be the undisputed event to watch at the end of the week, seconded by the Unemployment Rate and wage inflation data.

EUR/USD has traded with marked gains, surpassing the 1.1600 mark to hit four-day highs, always on the back of the marked weakness hurting the buck. Factory Orders in Germany are due in the first turn, seconded by the S&P Global Construction PMI in both Germany and the euro bloc and finally we will get Retail Sales data in the Euroland.

GBP/USD has managed to reclaim the 1.3550 region, reaching two-day highs and setting aside two consecutive days of losses. The S&P Global Construction PMI will be released alongside the BoE’s Decision Maker Panel (DMP) survey.

USD/JPY has collapsed to levels last seen in early August near 155.00 on the back of rising bets of a BoJ rate hike at its next gathering (what about FX intervention?). Household Spending figures will close the Japanese docket, followed by the advanced Coincident and Leading Economic indexes.

AUD/USD has added to Wednesday’s advance, marginally exceeding the key 0.7200 hurdle to challenge multi-week tops amid the increasing downward trend in the US Dollar. The next data release on the Australian calendar will be the Consumer Confidence index tracked by Westpac and housing data, all due on September 8.

Another day, another advance in WTI prices. Indeed, the commodity surpassed the $93.00 mark per barrel for the first time since late July, always underpinned by escalating tensions on the US-Iran-Hormuz front and the marked sell-off in the Greenback.

Gold has added to Wednesday’s recovery, breaking above the key $4,500 mark per troy ounce on the back of the strong retracement in the US Dollar. The yellow metal’s extra bounce has also followed declining US Treasury yields across the curve and continuous jitters in the Middle East.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY: Bears remain in control with focus on 155.00

USD/JPY accelerates its severe pullback and slips back to the 155.40-155.30 band, flirting with seven-month lows on Thursday. The sharp decline in spot comes as investors continue to assess a potential rate hike by the BoJ as soon as its September 18 meeting.

AUD/USD ranges above 0.7150 despite upbeat Chinese PMI

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day's bounce from a nearly two-week low and ranges above 0.7150 in Asia on Thursday, as dismal Australian trade data counter upbeat China's RatingDog Services PMI. However, the pair's upside remains in check as the US Dollar stalls the weak ADP report-led slide amid escalating US-Iran tensions and firming September Fed rate-hike bets.

Gold struggles to extend the bounce past $4,500

Gold adds to Wednesday’s gains and reclaims the area near the key $4,500 mark per troy ounce on Thursday. The strong decline in the US Dollar coupled with further weakness in US Treasury yields across the board also bolsters the move higher in the precious metal.

XRP defends key support, XLM awaits breakout as derivatives strengthen
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) show divergent technical outlooks as traders assess whether the recent weakness could give way to a recovery. XRP is finding support and defining a key support zone, while XLM slips below a cluster of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
Bitcoin steadies as markets turn cautious ahead of key economic data

Bitcoin (BTC) steadies around $77,700 on Thursday, trading sideways after its sharp rally during the second half of August. Institutional demand supports this range-bound price action, with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording mixed flows so far this week

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.