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EUR/USD sees more upside above 1.0650 despite upbeat US NFP

  • EUR/USD is expected to extend a rally above 1.0650 on less-hawkish Fed bets.
  • A sheer drop in US Average Hourly Earnings will be added to the downside inflation filters.
  • The USD Index witnessed a bloodbath, dropping to 103.50 amid the risk-on market mood.

The EUR/USD pair hovers around 1.0650 in the early Asian session after a juggernaut rally on Friday. The major currency pair picked a sheer demand despite the release of the upbeat United States Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. As per the US official employment data, the United States economy added 223K new jobs in December, much higher than the consensus of 200K but lower than the former release of 256K.

The sentiment of the market participants turned highly positive as the impact of upbeat NFP was already discounted after solid Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change data. Apart from that, the catalyst that triggered the risk-appetite theme was the decline in the Average Hourly Earnings (Dec). S&P500 had a ball as the index soared more than 2.25%.

The Average Hourly Earnings dropped to 4.6% vs. the consensus of 5.0% and the former release of 4.8%. Investors were worried that a rise in labor demand would be offset by higher wage inflation as firms would offer higher wages to attract talent. Higher wage growth might lead to a rebound in overall inflation and will force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to either hike terminal rate projections or continue to maintain hawkish monetary policy beyond CY2023.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) witnessed a bloodbath, dropping heavily from 105.00 to critical support around 103.50. The USD Index is highly expected to continue its downside momentum further. While the 10-year US Treasury yields fell to 3.56%.

On the Eurozone front, the annual Harmonized Index of Consumer prices (HICP) (Dec) dropped to 9.2% vs. the expectations of 9.7% and the former release of 10.1%. Inflationary pressures dropped in Eurozone led by falling energy prices, which is a delight for the European Central Bank (ECB).

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0646
Today Daily Change0.0000
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open1.0646
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0616
Daily SMA501.041
Daily SMA1001.015
Daily SMA2001.0314
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0648
Previous Daily Low1.0483
Previous Weekly High1.071
Previous Weekly Low1.0483
Previous Monthly High1.0736
Previous Monthly Low1.0393
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0585
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0546
Daily Pivot Point S11.0537
Daily Pivot Point S21.0427
Daily Pivot Point S31.0372
Daily Pivot Point R11.0702
Daily Pivot Point R21.0757
Daily Pivot Point R31.0867

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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