|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Initial hurdle comes at 1.1250

  • EUR/USD now gives away some gains following new tops near 1.1250.
  • A technical correction seems to be shaping up.

EUR/USD comes under pressure and puts the 1.1200 region to the test on Monday.

While the continuation of the upside momentum appears favoured in the very near term, the pair’s current overbought conditions might spark a corrective knee-jerk. Further north of the 2023 top at 1.1248 (July 17), the pair is expected to meet the next resistance level of note at the 2022 high of 1.1495 recorded on February 10.

Looking at the longer run, the positive view remains unchanged while above the 200-day SMA, today at 1.0658.

EUR/USD daily chart

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1222
Today Daily Change45
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open1.1227
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0966
Daily SMA501.087
Daily SMA1001.0854
Daily SMA2001.0653
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1245
Previous Daily Low1.1204
Previous Weekly High1.1245
Previous Weekly Low1.0944
Previous Monthly High1.1012
Previous Monthly Low1.0662
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1229
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.122
Daily Pivot Point S11.1206
Daily Pivot Point S21.1185
Daily Pivot Point S31.1165
Daily Pivot Point R11.1247
Daily Pivot Point R21.1266
Daily Pivot Point R31.1287

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.