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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Edges toward 1.0830 as bullish momentum builds post-Europe

  • EUR/USD was seen trading near the 1.0830 zone on Friday after the European session, moving closer to the top of its daily range.
  • Despite mixed oscillator signals, short- and long-term moving averages support the pair’s ongoing bullish momentum.
  • Support is seen around 1.0790–1.0810, while resistance stands near 1.0845; MACD flashes a sell, but trend bias remains bullish.

EUR/USD extended its upward trajectory on Friday, moving near the 1.0830 region after the European session and toward the upper end of the day’s trading range. The pair has gained traction, reflecting investor appetite for the euro despite mixed short-term signals. Technicals reveal an ongoing bullish backdrop, underpinned by supportive moving averages, though caution remains as oscillators flash neutral-to-negative cues.

Momentum indicators are mixed. The short-term Relative Strength Index is neutral at 5.91, and when combined with the Stochastic indicator, it confirms a lack of clear directional drive. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) flashes a sell signal, while the longer-term RSI (14) sits at around 57. The Bull Bear Power also remains marginally negative, suggesting slight hesitation despite recent gains.

However, the moving averages paint a more optimistic picture. The 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.0791, the 100-day at 1.0518, and the 200-day at 1.0729 all signal buy conditions, reinforcing the prevailing bullish structure. Additional support from the 30-day Exponential Moving Average (1.0709) and SMA (1.0682) further strengthens this view.

On the downside, support levels are located at 1.0810, 1.0791, and 1.0785. Resistance is found near 1.0845, a key area that, if breached, could open the door for an extended move higher. While bullish conditions persist, traders may need to navigate choppy signals from oscillators as the pair consolidates gains.

EUR/USD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

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