EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bulls run into resistance, bears eye trendline support

EUR/USD bulls eye higher highs but a correction could be on the cards.
Bears eye a correction to test trendline support.

Ross J Burland FXStreet

The euro surged into the 1.0970 mark vs. the US Dollar on Friday, reaching its strongest level since May, following the European Central Bank's decision to raise interest rates for the eighth consecutive time earlier in the week. There was also a signal that future rate hikes were on the table, leaving scope for higher highs in the pair:

EUR/USD weekly chart

The market has run into the weekly neckline of the M-formation. This leaves prospects of a correction but it has been a solid drive higher, so there is momentum in this bullish impulse and we could be headed for higher highs still.

EUR/USD daily chart

We have possible stops above the swing highs that have been left intact, so far. Before a move higher into them, a drive to the downside could be in order first. This brings the 38.2% Fibonacci of the bullish impulse on the daily chart into focus and trendline support.

Author

Ross J Burland

FXStreet

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD looks inconclusive near 1.1420

EUR/USD trades in a tight range in the low 1.1400s on Tuesday, struggling to gain momentum amid an equally absence of clear direction in the US Dollar (USD). Uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran conflict is capping the pair’s upside, while traders avoid taking significant positions ahead of Thursday’s ECB gathering.

Middle East crisis intensifies, Gold up

Gold gains ground on Tuesday, reversing Monday’s pessimism and advancing toward the $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Nevertheless, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP extends recovery as on-chain activity grows

Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).

The Iranian war has again risen

The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?

The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.