|

EUR/USD flirting with lows, around mid-1.2300s ahead of US data

   •  EUR continues to be weighed down by Draghi’s dovish tone.
   •  A modest USD recovery adds to the downward pressure.
   •  Follow-through selling might open room for additional weakness.

The EUR/USD pair extended its steady decline from an intraday high level of 1.2384 and has now dropped to fresh session lows. 

The pair extended its overnight retracement slide from multi-day tops, triggered by the ECB President Mario Draghi's dovish tone, and drifted into negative territory for the second consecutive session. 

This coupled with a modest US Dollar rebound, despite lingering growing global trade war fears, kept exerting some additional downward pressure and dragged the pair to mid-1.2300s.

The pair, however, seems to be finding some support near a short-term ascending trend-line, extending from monthly lows. Hence, it would prudent to wait for a decisive break below the mentioned support before positioning for any additional near-term depreciating move.

On the economic data front, the release of regional manufacturing indices and the usual weekly jobless claims from the US would now be looked upon for some fresh trading impetus during the early NA session. 

Technical levels to watch

A convincing break below mid-1.2300s is likely to accelerate the fall towards the 1.2300 handle en-route 1.2275 horizontal support. On the upside, the 1.2400 area might continue to act as an immediate hurdle, which if cleared decisively might trigger a short-covering bounce and assist the pair to aim back towards reclaiming the key 1.25 psychological mark. 
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1750 as traders await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1770 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Traders continue to price in the prospect of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in 2026, following the 25-basis-point rate reduction delivered at the December meeting. The release of the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold rebounds to near $4,350 after Monday's 4+% correction

Gold is bouncing to near $4,350 early Tuesday, helped by renewed US Dollar weakness and a dismal mood. Gold was hit sharply by profit-taking on Monday during US trading hours and retreated towards $4,300, where buyers reappeared.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries, adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).