|

EUR/USD fades a knee-jerk bullish spike, plunges below 1.10 mark post-ECB

  • ECB cuts interest rates by 10 bps and announces a new QE program.
  • The EUR weakens across the board in reaction to dovish ECB decision.
  • Investors now look forward to Draghi's post-meeting press conference.

The EUR/USD pair faded the post-ECB bullish spike to and quickly retreated around 100-pips in the last hour, refreshing session lows and sliding farther below the key 1.10 psychological mark.
 
The shared currency picked up some upside momentum and fizzled out rather quickly after the European Central Bank, as was widely expected, lowered interest rates further into the negative territory by 10 bps to -0.50% at the conclusion of its September policy meeting.
 
The move was largely priced in the market and hence, prompted some intraday short-covering move. The ECB reintroduced QE program, €20 billion per month from 1 November, and reiterated to buy bonds as long as needed. The announcement was perceived as a more dovish tilt and eventually exerted some fresh downward pressure on the pair.
 
It will now be interesting to see if the pair is able to attract any buying interest at lower levels or the latest leg of a sudden drop marks the resumption of the prior depreciating move as the focus now shifts to the post-meeting press conference, where comments by the ECB President Mario Draghi should infuse a fresh bout of volatility around the EUR crosses.

Technical levels to watch

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0966
Today Daily Change-0.0048
Today Daily Change %-0.44
Today daily open1.1014
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1058
Daily SMA501.1138
Daily SMA1001.1186
Daily SMA2001.1265
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1056
Previous Daily Low1.0985
Previous Weekly High1.1085
Previous Weekly Low1.0926
Previous Monthly High1.1251
Previous Monthly Low1.0962
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1012
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1029
Daily Pivot Point S11.0981
Daily Pivot Point S21.0948
Daily Pivot Point S31.091
Daily Pivot Point R11.1051
Daily Pivot Point R21.1089
Daily Pivot Point R31.1122

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stays bid above 0.7100 on Australian trade data, Mideast optimism

AUD/USD clings to minor recovery gains above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Thursday as a new Israel-Lebanon ceasefire keeps a lid on the safe-haven US Dollar. Meanwhile, strong AustralianTrade Balane data also help the Aussie pair sustain the bounce from weekly lows.

USD/JPY hovers near the 160.00 intervention threshold on Mideast tensions

USD/JPY struggles to find acceptance above 160.00 and retreats from a one-month high in the Asian session on Thursday amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, a new Israel-Lebanon ceasefire caps the US Dollar and supports the currency pair. However, renewed US-Iran tensions keep the downside limited in the Greenback and the pair.

Gold defends 200-day SMA; upside seems capped on Iran uncertainty

Gold recovers from a one-week low near $4,425, or the 200-day SMA, in the Asian session on Thursday, as news of an Israel-Lebanon ceasefire acts as a headwind for the safe-haven US Dollar. However, renewed hostilities in the Gulf, along with stalled US-Iran peace talks, keep geopolitical risks in play and should support the USD, checking the Gold price rebound.


XRP and XLM outlook: Bearish streak extends as risk-off mood erodes retail demand, ETF flows

Ripple and Stellar prices face intense selling pressure, extending losses on Thursday for the fourth consecutive day this week. Cross-border remittance tokens are losing retail sentiment, while XRP faces additional pressure from Exchange-Traded Fund outflows.

Kevin Warsh takes the Fed helm: What it means for the US Dollar
The Federal Reserve moves away from the highly predictable "forward guidance" model of the Jerome Powell era to a new “Kevin Warsh environment”, characterized by less communication, more policy surprises, and an increased focus on the Fed's complex balance sheet.
Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.