|

EUR/USD: bias stays toppish – Commerzbank

In view of Senior Technical Analyst at Commerzbank Axel Rudolph, a drop below 1.0683 is needed to allow further pullbacks.

Key Quotes

“The three month resistance line at 1.0957 capped EUR/USD as expected with the 200 day moving average at 1.0836 still being in focus”.

“For a decline to be seen a fall below Friday’s low at 1.0683 will have to unfold, below which lies the 55 day moving average at 1.0676 and the 2017 support line at 1.0617. Failure at nearby Fibonacci support at 1.0555 should be enough to trigger weakness to the 1.0494 February low, then the 1.0340 January low. Our bias remains toppish”.

“A close above the three month resistance line at 1.0957 would put the January 2015 low at 1.1098 on the agenda”.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD: Downward-sloping trendline near 1.3470 remains key barrier

The British pound faces selling pressure against its major currency peers, trading 0.1% lower at around 1.3420 against the US Dollar during the European trading session on Tuesday.

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Needs to take out 1.1600 decisively for fresh upside

The Euro (EUR) trades with caution at around Monday’s low of 1.1500 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Tuesday. The major currency pair is expected to remain volatile as investors await key United States (US) economic release this week to get meaningful cues regarding the interest rate outlook.

Aave: Bearish RSI divergence risks a 20% drop despite steady DeFi deposits

Aave (AAVE) extends a mild near-term recovery on Tuesday, holding above its 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $90.80. Aave protocol’s V3 deployment on Monad blockchain recorded over $500 million in deposits over the last month, reflecting increased user adoption.

US JOLTs report in focus
In the US, the June JOLTs report will be in the spotlight. Job openings have increased modestly this year, which has historically predicted rising wage cost pressures ahead. June trade balance data will also be released in the afternoon and the preliminary reading pointed towards a stable trade deficit from May. The Fed's Schmid (non-voter, hawk) will be on the wires overnight.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.