|

EUR/USD: A small chance of breaking above 1.1200 – UOB Group

Potential of the Euro (EUR) breaking above 1.1200 remains unclear, UOB Group Quek Ser Leang and Victor Yong note.

EUR may test 1.1200 near term

24-HOUR VIEW: “Yesterday, we expected EUR to trade in a 1.1085/1.1145 range. In NY trade, EUR soared briefly to 1.1189, plummeted to 1.1094 and then closed largely unchanged (1.1118, +0.04%). Despite the choppy price action, the underlying tone seems to have softened somewhat. Today, we expect EUR to trade in a range, albeit a lower one of 1.1080/1.1140.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “Two days ago (17 Sep, spot at 1.1125), we highlighted that EUR “is likely to continue to rise, but it is unclear at this time if it has sufficient momentum to break above the year-to-date high, near 1.1200.” Yesterday, EUR rose briefly to 1.1188, pulling back to close largely unchanged. The price action did not result in any increase in momentum, and it is still unclear for now if EUR can break above 1.1200. However, only a breach of 1.1060 (‘strong support’ level previously at 1.1040) would indicate that the potential for EUR to rise above 1.1200 has dissipated.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hangs near three-week low, below 0.6950 as traders await US NFP report

AUD/USD hits a three-week low during the Asian session on Friday as the RBA’s dovish shift and a rout in equity markets weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, the recent slump in US bond yields to a two-month low keeps US Dollar bulls on the back foot and limits losses for the currency pair as traders look to the US NFP report for a fresh impetus.

USD/JPY bounces off three-week low; keeps the red near 157.65 as focus remains on US NFP

USD/JPY bounces off the weekly low set during the Asian session, as bears turn cautious ahead of the US NFP report due later this Friday. The upside seems limited as the recent slump in US bond yields and hopes of Iran war de-escalation undermine the US Dollar. Moreover, a hawkish BoJ and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, capping the pair.

Gold loses the grip; $4,000 comes next on the downside

Gold sets aside two daily advances in a row on Friday, opening the door to a potential test of the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal’s retracement follows a decent improvement in the sentiment surrounding the US Dollar, solid NFP data and higher US Treasury yields across the board.

Democrats win House and Senate in US midterms: Why isn’t all bad news for crypto

The biggest story this week was Tuesday’s US midterm elections, which saw Democrats win control of both the House and the Senate in a clear blue wave. This political shift in the US has triggered sharp price swings across the cryptocurrency market.

Week ahead – Inflation and geopolitics in focus as US political landscape shifts

Post-midterm election euphoria fizzles out as risk aversion prevails. US CPI, PPI and Fedspeak on the radar as Fed hike bets remain supported. Oil retreat pauses on mixed hopes about the ongoing conflicts.

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.