|

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Tests 186.50 barrier after breaking above ascending triangle top

  • A sustained breakout above resistance targets the EUR/JPY all-time high near 187.95.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index of 59.46 keeps buyers in control short of overbought territory.
  • Pulling back to the triangle exposes initial support at the nine-day EMA around 185.81.

EUR/JPY extends its gains for the third successive day, trading around 186.40 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The currency cross is keeping a bullish near-term bias as it holds above both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). The short-term EMA trading over the longer one reinforces an upward structure.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 59.46 stays in positive territory without yet signaling overbought conditions, hinting that buyers still retain control but face nearby upside constraints.

The daily chart technical analysis shows the currency cross is positioned above the upper boundary of an ascending triangle, suggesting a bullish breakout. Further advances would support the currency cross to navigate the region around the all-time high of 187.95, which was recorded on April 17.

On the downside, a return within the triangle would expose the initial support at the nine-day EMA of 185.81, with additional backing at the 50-day EMA of 185.23 and the lower boundary of the ascending triangle near 185.20.

Further declines below the triangle pattern would undermine the bullish setup and put downward pressure on the EUR/JPY cross to navigate the region around the five-month low of 181.87, recorded on March 16, and the seven-month low of 180.81.

Chart Analysis EUR/JPY
EUR/JPY: Daily Chart

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.18%-0.10%-0.07%-0.17%-0.30%-0.05%-0.14%
EUR0.18%0.09%0.13%0.00%-0.12%0.15%0.03%
GBP0.10%-0.09%0.04%-0.10%-0.21%0.06%-0.05%
JPY0.07%-0.13%-0.04%-0.12%-0.25%-0.00%-0.10%
CAD0.17%-0.00%0.10%0.12%-0.14%0.13%0.01%
AUD0.30%0.12%0.21%0.25%0.14%0.27%0.18%
NZD0.05%-0.15%-0.06%0.00%-0.13%-0.27%-0.12%
CHF0.14%-0.03%0.05%0.10%-0.01%-0.18%0.12%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD nudges higher above 1.3350 despite Middle East turmoil

The GBP/USD pair rebounds to near 1.3385 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. However, the potential upside for the major pair might be limited amid cooler-than-expected UK inflation data and escalating tensions in the Middle East. Traders will take more cues from the UK Retail Sales report, which is due later on Friday. 


EUR/USD advances ahead of ECB policy decision

EUR/USD extends its gains for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.1410 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The pair gains ground as the Euro finds solid support ahead of the European Central Bank's upcoming interest rate decision.

Gold holds above $4,100 as weak USD counters Fed hike bets amid US-Iran escalation

Gold holds above the $4,100 mark during the Asian session, and seems to have stalled the previous day's modest pullback from an over two-week high. Crude oil prices climb to a fresh high since June 11 amid a further escalation of tensions between the US and Iran, fueling inflation fears and bolstering US Federal Reserve interest rate hike expectations. This lifts US Treasury bond yields to a multi-month high and is seen as a key factor acting as a headwind for the non-yielding bullion.

Hyperliquid, Robinhood could lead crypto’s next bull market as DeFi and TradFi converge

The next crypto bull market could be driven by the growing convergence between blockchain-based financial infrastructure and traditional finance, according to Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan. In a report published late Tuesday, Hougan argued that crypto may be showing early signs of a market bottom, with Bitcoin gaining 9% since July 1 even as the NASDAQ 100 declined 6%.

Ripple and Stellar await direction amid cautious sentiment

Ripple and Stellar trade cautiously as both tokens hover around key technical levels. XRP is testing resistance at its 50-day EMA, while XLM continues to consolidate around the $0.187 support zone. Meanwhile, mixed derivatives data with a slight bearish tilt suggests traders remain cautious, keeping the next directional move uncertain.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.