|

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Tests 186.50 barrier after breaking above ascending triangle top

  • A sustained breakout above resistance targets the EUR/JPY all-time high near 187.95.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index of 59.46 keeps buyers in control short of overbought territory.
  • Pulling back to the triangle exposes initial support at the nine-day EMA around 185.81.

EUR/JPY extends its gains for the third successive day, trading around 186.40 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The currency cross is keeping a bullish near-term bias as it holds above both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). The short-term EMA trading over the longer one reinforces an upward structure.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 59.46 stays in positive territory without yet signaling overbought conditions, hinting that buyers still retain control but face nearby upside constraints.

The daily chart technical analysis shows the currency cross is positioned above the upper boundary of an ascending triangle, suggesting a bullish breakout. Further advances would support the currency cross to navigate the region around the all-time high of 187.95, which was recorded on April 17.

On the downside, a return within the triangle would expose the initial support at the nine-day EMA of 185.81, with additional backing at the 50-day EMA of 185.23 and the lower boundary of the ascending triangle near 185.20.

Further declines below the triangle pattern would undermine the bullish setup and put downward pressure on the EUR/JPY cross to navigate the region around the five-month low of 181.87, recorded on March 16, and the seven-month low of 180.81.

Chart Analysis EUR/JPY
EUR/JPY: Daily Chart

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.18%-0.10%-0.07%-0.17%-0.30%-0.05%-0.14%
EUR0.18%0.09%0.13%0.00%-0.12%0.15%0.03%
GBP0.10%-0.09%0.04%-0.10%-0.21%0.06%-0.05%
JPY0.07%-0.13%-0.04%-0.12%-0.25%-0.00%-0.10%
CAD0.17%-0.00%0.10%0.12%-0.14%0.13%0.01%
AUD0.30%0.12%0.21%0.25%0.14%0.27%0.18%
NZD0.05%-0.15%-0.06%0.00%-0.13%-0.27%-0.12%
CHF0.14%-0.03%0.05%0.10%-0.01%-0.18%0.12%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.
Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.