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EUR/JPY Price Analysis: The rally stalls at 132.00 though upside risks remain

  • The EUR/JPY has rallied for four consecutive days in the week, eyeing for a fifth one.
  • A positive market mood kept safe-haven peers under pressure.
  • EUR/JPY Price Forecast: The path of least resistance is upward, though would need a decisive break above 132.00.

The EUR/JPY weekly rally persists for the fourth consecutive day, up 2.83% as the Asian session is about to begin. The financial market mood reflects an upbeat market mood, though of late, news citing a US intelligence official saying that “Putin is likely to make nuclear threats if the war drags” caused some nervousness on market players, though not enough to spur a sell-off on equities. At the time of writing, the EUR/JPY is trading at 131.54.

Overnight, the EUR/JPY seesawed around the 131.00 mark, though break upwards once North American traders got to their desks, and reached a new YTD high at 131.90, retreating afterward towards 131.50s.

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The EUR/JPY achieved to break above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, which sat at 131.27 and left the Japanese yen vulnerable to further weakness, which indeed happened. The EUR/JPY rallied short the 132.00 figure, though retreated and is trading above 131.52 Thursday’s close.

The EUR/JPY path of least resistance is upwards, and the first resistance would be 132.00. Breach of the latter would expose the downslope trendline around the 132.70-80 area, followed by the February 10 at 133.15.

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price131.54
Today Daily Change0.52
Today Daily Change %0.40
Today daily open131.02
 
Trends
Daily SMA20128.7
Daily SMA50129.71
Daily SMA100129.68
Daily SMA200130.03
 
Levels
Previous Daily High131.1
Previous Daily Low129.54
Previous Weekly High129.04
Previous Weekly Low124.39
Previous Monthly High133.15
Previous Monthly Low127.92
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%130.51
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%130.14
Daily Pivot Point S1130
Daily Pivot Point S2128.99
Daily Pivot Point S3128.44
Daily Pivot Point R1131.57
Daily Pivot Point R2132.12
Daily Pivot Point R3133.13

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
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