|

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Surges above 158.00, but downtrend remains intact

  • EUR/JPY's rallies but the bearish bias remains in place
  • Technical outlook shows potential resistance near 158.35, with 159.00 and 160.00 as subsequent targets on a break higher.
  • Sellers could target supports at Kijun-Sen, Tenkan-Sen, and the January 2 low at 155.06.

The EUR/JPY rallied on Thursday by more than 1%, but it remains below the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), meaning that its bearish bias stays intact. Nevertheless, if the cross-pair achieves a daily close above the December 19 swing high of 158.59, could pave the way to challenge the 159.00 figure. At the time of writing, the pair is trading at 158.34

From a technical standpoint, the EUR/JPY daily chart depicts the pair as neutral to downward biased, following the drop from the November 16 high of 164.31, towards the December 7 low of 153.11. Since then, the pair has edged upwards but remains unable to crack resistance at around the 158.35 area. A breach of the latter would expose the 159.00 figure, followed by the 160.00 figure.

If EUR/JPY sellers regain control, the first support they will face would be the Kijun-Sen at 157.68. Once cleared, the next support would be the Tenkan-Sen at 156.83, followed by the January 2 low of 155.06.  

EUR/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Key Technical Levels

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price158.35
Today Daily Change1.91
Today Daily Change %1.22
Today daily open156.44
 
Trends
Daily SMA20156.4
Daily SMA50159.3
Daily SMA100158.62
Daily SMA200155.24
 
Levels
Previous Daily High156.79
Previous Daily Low155.25
Previous Weekly High158.39
Previous Weekly Low155.65
Previous Monthly High161.78
Previous Monthly Low153.17
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%156.2
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%155.84
Daily Pivot Point S1155.53
Daily Pivot Point S2154.62
Daily Pivot Point S3153.99
Daily Pivot Point R1157.07
Daily Pivot Point R2157.7
Daily Pivot Point R3158.61

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).