|

EUR/GBP rises amid disappointing UK inflation data

  • EUR/GBP rose to 0.8580, overcoming a key resistance level.
  • Softer UK inflation data suppressed Pound Sterling during Wednesday's session.
  • Markets are strongly considering a cut in September by the BoE.

Wednesday saw the EUR/GBP pair rise towards 0.8580, with softer-than-expected inflation data from the UK weighing on Pound Sterling. This contrasts Tuesday's movements, when the strength of the Pound was elevated by more positive UK employment data as lower inflation figures might prompt a more dovish Bank of England (BoE).

The UK's Office for National Statistics reported that inflation in the UK, measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose to a yearly 2.2% in July from 2% in June, below the market expectation of 2.3%. Similarly, the core CPI growth decreased to 3.3% down from 3.5% recorded in June. The initial market reaction to these figures resulted in diminished interest in Pound Sterling.

The next policy meeting from the BoE is on September 19, and the market currently estimates nearly a 45% chance of a rate cut.

EUR/GBP technical analysis

The EUR/GBP has shown a general bullish trend in recent sessions. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of the EUR/GBP pair fluctuates around mid-range values, indicating the bulls are gathering strength and have more way to go. The highest RSI was around 62, hinting toward a slight overbuying presence. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows steady green bars, confirming the presence of the buyers.

EUR/GBP daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).