|

EUR/CAD Price Prediction: Decisively breaks out of top of pattern

  • EUR/CAD has decisively broken out of a multi-month price pattern. 
  • If it can follow through higher it will probably confirm the start of a strong move higher. 

EUR/CAD rallies and pierces decisively above the slanting roof of the price pattern it had been trading in since the beginning of August. This is a bullish sign and if price follows through higher it could make a significant advance.

EUR/CAD Daily Chart 

A break above 151.72 (November 1 high) might confirm a continuation higher, probably to an initial target at 152.28, the August 5 high, followed by 1.5312, the 61.8% Fibonnacci price projection of the height of the pattern at its widest part, from the breakout point higher. 

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) momentum indicator has risen above the zero line and is currently supportive of the bullish outlook. 

A bearish close on Friday, however, would also form a two-bar reversal pattern, which occurs after a rally when a long green up day is followed by a long red down day of a similar length. This is a bearish short-term reversal pattern and could indicate a deeper correction temporarily clouds the outlook. 

Author

Joaquin Monfort

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

More from Joaquin Monfort
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 100-SMA hurdle near 0.7035 as hawkish RBA counters firmer USD

AUD/USD regains positive traction on Tuesday and climbs to 0.7030 during the Asian session, reversing the previous day's corrective slide from a one-month high as hawkish RBA rate expectations continue to support the Aussie. Spot prices, however, remain below the 100-day SMA pivotal resistance amid a firmer US Dollar as traders brace for Australia’s September CPI report on Wednesday ahead of the Fed rate decision.

USD/JPY sticks to modest gains above 157.50 as traders await Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts buyers for the third straight day, recovering further from a one-month low ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision and the BoJ policy update on Friday. Meanwhile, expectations that the BoJ may hold off on aggressive rate hikes weigh on the Japanese Yen, and the US Dollar advances to a nearly two-week high, supporting the currency pair.

Gold sticks to intraday losses around $4,000 as USD stays firm ahead of FOMC

Gold maintains its offered tone through the first half of Tuesday’s European session, with bearish traders looking to extend the slide further below the $4,000 psychological mark amid a broadly firmer US Dollar. The precious metal, however, holds above the three-month low touched on Monday, as traders refrain from placing aggressive directional bets and opt to wait for the outcome of the two-day FOMC policy meeting on Wednesday.

Pi Network stalls as weak crypto sentiment caps recovery

Pi Network (PI) holds steady above $0.0760 at press time on Tuesday, stalling after a roughly 2% rebound the previous day. The broader market's weak sentiment and reduced trading volume weigh on the PI token. The technical outlook is bearish, with price capped below a long-term resistance trendline and weak momentum.

France tests the Euro's nerve: What the OAT spread is telling FX traders
France's 10-year borrowing premium over Germany hit its widest since the 2011 debt crisis last week. With public spending above 57% of GDP, unrest on the streets and a presidential election next spring, cuts look unlikely. If Paris cannot trim, the bill may be paid quietly through financial repression.
What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.