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Elabe Poll: Either Macron or Fillon to beat Le Pen in second round
According to the latest poll released be Elabe, either Macron or Fillon is to beat Le Pen in the second round by 60% to 40%.
First round: Le pen 26%, Macron 25.5%, Fillon 19%
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GBP/USD holds steady above 1.3450 on Monday but struggles to build bullish momentum. Markets continue to assess developments in the US-Iran conflict following the weekend hostilities, helping the Greenback remain resilient against its rivals. Attention will turn to the UK employment report on Tuesday.
EUR/USD trades on the back foot for the third day in a row and approaches the key 1.1400 contention zone on Monday. The pair’s pullback comes amid persistent uncertainty surrounding the Middle East crisis and decent gains in the US Dollar. Later this week, attention will turn to the ECB’s interest rate decision.
Gold comes under some mild downside pressure and trades just above the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the beginning of the week. Escalating military action in the Middle East provides some support to the safe-haven metal, although expectations of higher US interest rates bolster the US Dollar and keeps its under the microscope.
Ethereum's outperformance over the past week shows it's gaining relative strength against other top cryptocurrencies, but under the surface, key metrics indicate its rise remains fragile. Between last week and Wednesday, ETH recorded double-digit gains, outperforming fellow crypto majors Bitcoin, XRP, and Solana, before the broader market began to correct on Thursday.
Ripple (XRP) faces sustained selling pressure as bears maintain control on Monday. The remittance token has struggled to break above the $1.10 resistance since last Thursday, as risk sentiment weighs. Demand for XRP derivatives has gradually increased since last week, with the perpetual futures Open Interest (OI) averaging 2.4 billion XRP on Monday, up from 2.13 billion XRP the previous day.
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.
