|

Dow Jones outlook: Remains firmly in red, on track for weekly drop of over 5%

Dow was down 4.8% in past two days, strongly pressured by risk aversion as markets fear of deeper crisis that US tariffs and counter measures could cause on global economy.

From the technical point of view, daily studies are in full bearish setup, while weekly studies are weakening and contribute to negative outlook.

Break of important supports at 40214 and 40000 (Fibo 38.2% of 32328/45088 / psychological) and attempts to register weekly close below these levels, would generate strong bearish signal for deeper drop.

Completion of a double-top pattern on weekly chart has been confirmed by the latest weakness that adds to downside risk.

Immediate target lays at 38708 (50% retracement) with break here to expose 37624 (weekly Ichimoku cloud base) and 37202 (Fibo 61.8% retracement).

Strong resistances at 40000/40700 zone (broken supports / former low of Mar 13) should ideally cap upticks.

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY opens the door to a test of 155.00

USD/JPY accelerates its severe pullback and hovers around the 155.50 region on Thursday. The sharp decline in spot comes as investors continue to assess a potential rate hike by the BoJ as soon as its September 18 meeting.

AUD/USD ranges above 0.7150 despite upbeat Chinese PMI

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day's bounce from a nearly two-week low and ranges above 0.7150 in Asia on Thursday, as dismal Australian trade data counter upbeat China's RatingDog Services PMI. However, the pair's upside remains in check as the US Dollar stalls the weak ADP report-led slide amid escalating US-Iran tensions and firming September Fed rate-hike bets.

Gold defies sellers around $4,500

Gold adds to Wednesday’s gains and reclaims the area beyond the key $4,500 mark per troy ounce on Thursday. The strong decline in the US Dollar coupled with further weakness in US Treasury yields across the board also bolster the move higher in the yellow metal.

XRP defends key support, XLM awaits breakout as derivatives strengthen
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) show divergent technical outlooks as traders assess whether the recent weakness could give way to a recovery. XRP is finding support and defining a key support zone, while XLM slips below a cluster of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
Bitcoin steadies as markets turn cautious ahead of key economic data

Bitcoin (BTC) steadies around $77,700 on Thursday, trading sideways after its sharp rally during the second half of August. Institutional demand supports this range-bound price action, with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording mixed flows so far this week

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.