Dow Jones Industrial Average tilts further into the green on Friday

The Dow Jones climbed into 46,250 on Friday, adding another bullish day on the backend.
Equities have risen after the Fed trimmed interest rates through the midweek.
Coming up next week: PMI survey results and another round of PCE inflation data.

Joshua Gibson FXStreet

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) chalked in another slim but decisive gain on Friday, bringing the major equity index’s weekly performance to around a full percentage point gain. The Dow Jones has climbed into record highs on the back of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) latest rate cut, and investors are positioning themselves for a series of consecutive follow-up cuts through the end of the year.

Dow climbs on Fed support

The Dow Jones has thus far put in a stellar performance, especially for late in the third quarter. While September is typically a soft season for equities, this September has bucked the trend. The Dow Jones is up over 1.6% for the month, marking in a string of high-water marks, and is on pace to close in the green for a fifth straight month.

Most sectors are on the high side for Friday, with tech stocks taking their usual place at the front of the pack, climbing 0.72% for the day. Consumer discretionary stocks took second place, rising around 0.5%, while energy stocks suffered a decline of around 1.45%.

Fresh batch of inflation data in the pipe

With the Fed’s long-awaited initial interest rate cut finally in the books, traders will have to pivot back to data watching next week. The latest round of S&P Global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) survey results are due next Tuesday; US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth is scheduled for next Thursday; and an update to US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) inflation is slated for next Friday.

Dow Jones daily chart

Economic Indicator

S&P Global Manufacturing PMI

The S&P Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), released on a monthly basis, is a leading indicator gauging business activity in the US manufacturing sector. The data is derived from surveys of senior executives at private-sector companies from the manufacturing sector. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month and can anticipate changing trends in official data series such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), industrial production, employment and inflation. A reading above 50 indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding, a bullish sign for the US Dollar (USD). Meanwhile, a reading below 50 signals that activity in the manufacturing sector is generally declining, which is seen as bearish for USD.

GBP/USD revisits 1.3530; Dollar pushes harder

GBP/USD adds to the weekly correction and recedes toward the 1.3530 zone on Friday. Indeed, Cable faces increasing selling pressure on the back of extra gains in the Greenback, particularly fuelled by Chair Warsh’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium and the US NFP Annual Revision (-79K).

EUR/USD breaches below 1.1600, multi-day lows

EUR/USD now accelerates its decline and retreats to seven-day troughs in the sub-1.1600 region at the end of the week. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of the strong rebound in the US Dollar after Chair Warsh delivered a hawkish message in Jackson Hole, while the US NFP Annual Revision came in at -79K.

Gold challenges its 200-day SMA near $4,530

Gold’s decline gathers fresh steam, hitting weekly lows while disputing its critical 200-day SMA near $4,530 per troy ounce. The yellow metal’s increasing weakness comes in response to the generalised upbeat tone in the US Dollar and the widespread rebound in US Treasury yields, as investors continue to reprice a Fed rate hike in September.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rally loses steam despite steady ETF inflows

Bitcoin is back below $80,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after a second attempt at breaking resistance between $81,000 and $82,000. Meanwhile, Ethereum and Ripple mirror Bitcoin’s cooling trend, with ETH sliding to $2,500 and XRP falling toward $1.40 support.

Week ahead – RBNZ and BoC decide on rates ahead of all-important US NFP

Dollar rebounds ahead of ISM PMI and NFP data. RBNZ is expected to raise rates; focus to fall on forward guidance. BoC is set to remain on hold; will it raise rates in 2027?

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.