|

British Pound: BoE hawkish shift could support gains against Euro – ING

ING’s Chris Turner writes that EUR/GBP has been pressured by French-related Euro risk but Sterling may gain further support if the Bank of England aligns with other central banks and hikes rates. Markets will watch centrist policymakers Andrew Bailey and Claire Lombardelli for any hint of backing a hike. ING sees strong support at 0.8455/0.8465, with potential tests of 0.8400 if a November hike looks likely.

Sterling eyes BoE centrist signals

"EUR/GBP has been dragged lower by developments in France and the extra risk premium being built into the euro. But sterling could start to receive some support from Bank of England policy should it look like the BoE is ready to fall in with other central banks and hike rates."

"After some hawkish speakers earlier in the day, the market will be watching centrist speakers Andrew Bailey and Claire Lombardelli."

"Any suggestion that they are ready to cross the Rubicon and vote for a hike could depress EUR/GBP further today."

"0.8455/65 looks like strong support after quite a sharp drop in EUR/GBP over the last couple of weeks. That should be tested if it looks like the BoE is ready to hike in November and there is outside risk to the 0.8400 area, while the French budgetary position remains unresolved."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.6950 amid risk aversion

AUD/USD consolidates in the Asian session on Thursday, trading just above 0.6950 as traders assess developments in the Middle East crisis. The Pentagon reportedly ordered readiness for potential strikes against Iran. This keeps the geopolitical risk premium in play, which, along with hawkish FOMC Minutes and elevated US bond yields, will likely keep the US Dollar underpinned at the expense of the pair.

USD/JPY slips below 158.00 as USD retreats

USD/JPY returns to the red below 158.00 in the Asian session on Thursday amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar eases from near an 18-month high on profit taking, ignoring Wednesday's hawkish FOMC Minutes and the risk of a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East, adding to the pair's pullback.

Gold bulls remain on the sidelines as hawkish Fed and Middle East jitters underpin USD

Gold trims its intraday gains and trades near $4,125 during the early European session on Thursday, up around 0.35% for the day. A combination of factors helps the US Dollar retain a bullish undertone, which keeps a lid on the precious metal's bounce from a two-month low, touched the previous day.

Ripple and Stellar test key support amid rising downside risks
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) remain under pressure and extend their corrections on Thursday as weakening derivatives metrics and broader macroeconomic headwinds weigh on sentiment. XRP and XLM approach a key support zone after three consecutive days of losses so far this week.
The UK 30-year gilt just hit a 1998 high. Is that good or bad for the British Pound?
The yield on the UK's 30-year government bond, or gilt, went through 6% on October 1 for the first time since early 1998, and on Monday the Pound was at its strongest against the Euro since June 2025. The gilt market's 28-year high is mostly someone else's. Since early May, the 30-year gilt yield has risen about 0.15 of a percentage point and the US 30-year about 0.7.
The UK 30-year gilt just hit a 1998 high. Is that good or bad for the British Pound?
The yield on the UK's 30-year government bond, or gilt, went through 6% on October 1 for the first time since early 1998, and on Monday the Pound was at its strongest against the Euro since June 2025. The gilt market's 28-year high is mostly someone else's. Since early May, the 30-year gilt yield has risen about 0.15 of a percentage point and the US 30-year about 0.7.