|

Breaking: GBP/USD slumps to fresh 37-year low under 1.0800 on broad US dollar strength

  • GBP/USD extends Friday’s south-run to refresh multi-year low.
  • Discomfort for UK Chancellor’s latest speech, fears of recession weigh on the pair.
  • Uncertainty surrounding BOE’s next move versus hawkish Fed pleases sellers.
  • Risk catalysts are the key for immediate directions, counter-trend traders may seek opportunities but should remain cautious.

GBP/USD takes offers to drop to the lowest levels since 1985, to 1.0780 during Monday’s Asian session, as the UK’s economic challenges and the fears surrounding the Bank of England’s (BOE) join the broad US dollar strength to favor bears. In doing so, the Cable pair ignores recent efforts from the British policymakers to please voters with the fiscal stimulus.

British Finance Minister (FinMin) Kwasi Kwarteng’s failed attempt to please defend the fiscal expansion amid fears of more inflation seem to weigh on the GBP/USD of late. British FinMin Kwarteng said on Sunday that he was focused on boosting longer-term growth, not on short-term market moves, when challenged over the sharp fall in sterling and bond prices following his first fiscal statement, reported Reuters. On different news, Reuters also reported that Keir Starmer, leader of Britain's Labour Party, termed the UK government’s tax cuts are only helping the wealthy people and pledged to reverse the abolition of the top rate of income tax.

Elsewhere, strong US PMIs, the escalation in the Russia-Ukraine tension and hawkish central bankers propelled the US dollar.

On Friday, US S&P Global PMIs, on the other hand, were encouraging as the Manufacturing gauge rose to 51.8 from 51.5, while its services counterpart recovered from 44.6 to 49.3 for September. Following that, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said on Friday, “We are committed to using our tools.” Following him, Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard mentioned that inflation is very high and is hitting low-income families ‘hard’. During the weekend, Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic said that he still believes the central bank can tame inflation without substantial job losses given the economy's continued momentum, reported Reuters while quoting the Fed policymaker’s interview on CBS' "Face the Nation".

On a different page, Ukraine President Zelenskiy was last heard saying that maybe ''Putin's nuclear threats were a bluff, but now, it could be a reality'' as per a CBS interview. Meanwhile, the United States warned of "catastrophic consequences" if Moscow were to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine after Russia's Foreign Minister said regions holding widely-criticized referendums would get full protection if annexed by Moscow.

It should be noted that Russia’s warning of using nuclear weapons if needed to battle with the West and the G7 efforts to muster courage against Moscow also weighed on the risk appetite and drowned the GBP/USD prices. “The CBOE Volatility Index, known as Wall Street's fear gauge, on Friday shot above 30, its highest point since late June but below the 37 average level that has marked crescendos of selling in past market declines since 1990,” per Reuters.

Although the GBP/USD bears are likely to keep the reins, Friday’s final readings of the UK’s Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and speeches from Fed Chair Powell will be crucial for the pair traders to watch for clear directions during the week.

Technical analysis

Unless crossing the year 2020 low near 1.1410, the GBP/USD bears are likely approaching the year 1985 low surrounding 1.0520.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.0782
Today Daily Change-0.0078
Today Daily Change %-0.72%
Today daily open1.086
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1475
Daily SMA501.1808
Daily SMA1001.2045
Daily SMA2001.2654
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1274
Previous Daily Low1.084
Previous Weekly High1.1461
Previous Weekly Low1.084
Previous Monthly High1.2294
Previous Monthly Low1.1599
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1006
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1108
Daily Pivot Point S11.0708
Daily Pivot Point S21.0557
Daily Pivot Point S31.0274
Daily Pivot Point R11.1143
Daily Pivot Point R21.1426
Daily Pivot Point R31.1577

Author

FXStreet Team

Composed of a group of economic journalists and FX experts, the FXStreet content team produces and oversees all content published on FXStreet. It provides a purely journalistic approach to the Forex market.

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls seem hesitant below 0.7050 ahead of RBA on Tuesday

AUD/USD reverses an Asian session dip on Monday as renewed optimism over Iran diplomacy boosts investor confidence, keeping a lid on the safe-haven US Dollar and supporting the risk-sensitive Aussie. Spot prices, however, remain below the one-month high, touched last Thursday, as bulls wait for the crucial RBA decision before taking fresh positions.



USD/JPY climbs to 158.00 neighborhood as BoJ uncertainty weighs on the JPY

The USD/JPY pair gains some positive traction at the start of a new week, recovering further from Friday's post-Bank of Japan (BoJ) swing low to sub-157.00 levels. The momentum lifts spot prices to the 158.00 neighborhood during the Asian session and seems unaffected by fresh intervention warning from Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama.

Gold finds relief from Oil’s decline as traders await key US economic data

Gold retains a positive bias during American trading hours on Monday after sliding to a fresh yearly low of $3,870 on Friday and ending October down 6.87%. A pullback in Oil prices amid diplomatic efforts between the US and Iran supports the precious metal. However, the rebound lacks conviction as the fundamental backdrop continues to raise doubts over a sustained recovery.

Dogecoin risks deeper slide as whales diverge

Dogecoin hovers around $0.075 on Monday after falling for the fifth consecutive week since the end of September. Santiment data shows diverging whale activity, as large holders reduce their positions while smaller whale wallets accumulate tokens. Meanwhile, weakening on-chain metrics and a deteriorating technical outlook suggest that DOGE could remain vulnerable to further losses.

Why strong US growth could not stop the bond rally and AI selloff

The US economy grew at a 3.4% annual rate, yet Treasury yields fell and the Nasdaq ended October with its worst monthly performance since March 2025. The market is no longer rewarding capital expenditure simply because it supports growth. Investors are testing whether that expenditure can produce cash flow and returns above the cost of capital.



The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.