|

Bovespa Index Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Bovespa Index Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Bullish Trend.

Mode: Impulsive.

Structure: Orange Wave 3.

Position: Navy Blue Wave 1.

Direction next lower degrees: Orange Wave 4.

Details: Orange wave 2 appears complete; orange wave 3 is now active.

Wave cancel invalidation level: 122486.

The daily analysis shows strong bullish movement in the Bovespa Index, continuing within a structured uptrend. Currently, orange wave 3 is progressing, following the conclusion of orange wave 2’s correction. This phase, within navy blue wave 1, suggests the index has entered a typically forceful part of an Elliott impulsive sequence.

The impulsive behavior indicates robust buying interest. With wave 3 underway, significant upside potential remains unless the index breaks the critical invalidation level of 122486, which would negate the current count and possibly suggest a more complex correction or a trend shift.

Traders can use this structure to understand the market’s current phase and expect potential for further upward movement. Orange wave 4 is likely the next step once orange wave 3 ends. Market participants should watch for continuation signals, keeping risk controls in place due to the advanced nature of the wave.

Day chart

Chart

Bovespa Index Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Bullish Trend.

Mode: Impulsive.

Structure: Navy Blue Wave 1.

Position: Gray Wave 3.

Direction next lower degrees: Navy Blue Wave 2.

Detalis: Gray wave 2 appears complete; navy blue wave 1 is now underway.

Wave cancel invalidation level: 122486.

The weekly chart suggests a strong bullish phase for the Bovespa Index. The structure shows navy blue wave 1 progressing within a larger gray wave 3, reflecting an early but significant leg in an overall upward trend. This marks the beginning of a new impulsive sequence after the conclusion of gray wave 2.

With navy blue wave 1 active, the current movement suggests further upside. Any decline below 122486 would invalidate this count and prompt reevaluation. Otherwise, the setup indicates continuation of the bullish cycle.

This outlook provides confidence in the ongoing trend. Once navy blue wave 1 completes, a minor pullback in navy blue wave 2 is expected. Until then, traders should track the price for strength and maintain discipline, aware of the invalidation threshold.

Weekly chart

Chart

Bovespa Index Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.