|

BoJ's Kuroda: BoJ should persistently continue with current aggressive monetary easing

In a live IMF/World Bank meeting panel, Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda reiterated his dovish stance that, though Japan's inflation rate maybe around 2.0% for the time being, the BoJ should persistently continue with its current aggressive monetary easing in order to achieve its price target of 2.0% inflation in a sustainable manner, reported Reuters. 

Additional Takeaways:

The rise of inflation in services has been limited, indicating that inflation in Japan has not been as widespread as in the US. 

A rise in commodity prices leads to a net outflow of income from Japan's economy. 

As Japan is a commodity importer, a rise in commodity prices pushes down on the economy through a decrease in households' real income and corporate profits. 

Japan's output gap is still negative and economic overheating has not been of concern. 

The BoJ's monetary policy should be to provide accommodative financial conditions and support the achievement of a full-fledged economic recovery. 

Japan's economy seems to be more resilient against the rise in commodity prices than it was in 2008. 

There is still ample room for pent-up demand to materialize as the impact of Covid-19 subsides. 

Japan's inflation is expected to rise in the short run, but such a rise consists primarily of cost-push inflation and therefore lacks sustainability. 

In Japan, it is unlikely that the current rise in commodity prices due to supply factors will immediately lead to a sustained rise in wages and prices. 

The BoJ will continue to conduct policy under its existing framework of yield curve control. 

Even with a cost-push shock like the current one, the BoJ has not faced the trade-off between prioritizing economic stability or price stability, unlike other central banks.

The BoJ's role in the current context is perfectly clear and it is to firmly support Japan's economic recovery. 

The BoJ will carefully examine various risks, including Covid-19, and continue to conduct monetary policy appropriately under yield curve control. 

Market Reaction

The yen has come under some selling pressure in recent trade in wake of the latest dovish remarks from Kuroda. 

Author

Joel Frank

Joel Frank

Independent Analyst

Joel Frank is an economics graduate from the University of Birmingham and has worked as a full-time financial market analyst since 2018, specialising in the coverage of how developments in the global economy impact financial asset

More from Joel Frank
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.