|

AUD/USD recovers to near 0.6600 as sentiment remains upbeat ahead of US core PCE data

  • AUD/USD bounces back to near 0.6600 on improved market sentiment.
  • Investors await the US core PCE data for fresh guidance on interest rates.
  • Australian inflation is anticipated to soften to 4.3% in the last quarter of 2023.

The AUD/USD pair rebounds to near the round-level resistance of 0.6600 in the late London session. The Aussie asset recovers as appeal for risk-perceived currencies ahead of the United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index data for December, which will be released at 13:30 GMT.

S&P500 futures have recovered majority of losses generated in the Asian session, portraying a sharp revival in the risk-appetite of investors. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen to near 103.38 after failing to recapture the monthly high of 103.82. 10-year US Treasury yields have dropped to near 4.11%.

Market sentiment is improving despite investors see the Federal reserve (Fed) reducing interest rates from May instead of March amid resilient US economy. The US economy grew at a robust pace of 3.3% in the last quarter of 2023, which itself is encouraging for growth prospects in 2024. This will allow Fed policymakers to avoid rush for commencing the ‘rate-cut’ campaign.

Meanwhile, investors await fresh guidance for the interest rate outlook, which would be offered by the US core PCE price index data. As per the estimates, monthly core PCE was up by 0.2% against slight increase of 0.1% in November. The annual inflation gauge rose at a slower pace of 3% vs. former growth rate of 3.2%.

On the Australian Dollar front, investors await the Q4 Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which will release next week. Price pressures are anticipated to soften significantly to 4.3% from 5.4% reading in the July-September quarter, which will provide some relief to Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) policymakers.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6593
Today Daily Change0.0009
Today Daily Change %0.14
Today daily open0.6584
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6663
Daily SMA500.6659
Daily SMA1000.6526
Daily SMA2000.6578
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.661
Previous Daily Low0.6566
Previous Weekly High0.6705
Previous Weekly Low0.6525
Previous Monthly High0.6871
Previous Monthly Low0.6526
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6593
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6583
Daily Pivot Point S10.6563
Daily Pivot Point S20.6543
Daily Pivot Point S30.6519
Daily Pivot Point R10.6607
Daily Pivot Point R20.663
Daily Pivot Point R30.6651

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains confined in a range above 0.7100

AUD/USD extends its consolidative price move above 0.7100 through the Asian session on Tuesday, shrugging off hawkish comments from RBA Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter as traders keenly await the crucial Trump-Xi summit later this week. Meanwhile, escalating tensions in the Middle East and the Fed's hawkish outlook remain supportive of the bullish US Dollar undertone, capping spot prices.

USD/JPY bulls seem cautious below 157.50 as JPY intervention risks loom

USD/JPY consolidates below mid-157.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday as intervention fears help limit losses for the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's dovish rate hike to a 31-year high keeps JPY bulls on the back foot. At the same time, the US Dollar retains its bullish undertone amid the Fed's hawkish outlook and escalating Middle East tensions, acting as a tailwind for the pair.

Gold benefits from falling US bond yields; remains below $4,400 amid bullish USD

Gold regains positive traction during the Asian session on Tuesday, though it lacks bullish conviction and remains below $4,400. Falling oil prices ease inflation fears, dragging US bond yields lower and supporting the non-yielding yellow metal. Meanwhile, the Fed's hawkish stance, along with escalating Middle East tensions, keeps the US Dollar near its highest level since late July and acts as a headwind for the bullion.

Ethereum rallies above $2,700 as investors shrug off bearish sentiment
Ethereum (ETH) climbed above $2,700 on Monday after investors defended the realized price level despite negative sentiment over the Clarity Act's failure and the Federal Reserve rate hike. After the Clarity Act failed to advance in the Senate, ETH dipped below $2,400 last week. But right below that price is the top altcoin's realized price, or average on-chain cost basis, at $2,310.
The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.