|

AUD/USD prints lowest level since March 2009

  • AUD/USD tracks NZD/USD lower, drops to the lowest level since March 2009.
  • The RBNZ cut rates by 50 basis points earlier today.
  • RBNZ's aggressive easing to put pressure on the RBA to do more.

A bigger-than-expected interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the resulting drop in the NZD/USD is dragging in the AUD/USD pair lower.  

AUD/USD is currently trading at 0.6724, the lowest level since March 2009, representing 0.54% losses on the day.

New Zealand's central bank cut the official cash rate (OCR) to 1% from 1.5% earlier today. The market, which was priced for a quarter-point rate cut, offered NZD in response to the bigger-than-expected rate cut.

The aggressive easing by the RBNZ will likely put pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to ease further, having delivered 25 basis point rate cuts in June and July. As of now, the official interest rate in Australia is 1%. Markets expect the RBA to cut rates to 0.75% before the year-end. With RBNZ's aggressive easing, the market may begin pricing two or more rate cuts by the RBA before Dec. 31.

The AUD, therefore, could continue to lose ground during the day ahead. The Aussie data released earlier today disappointed expectations. Australian home loans declined by 0.9% in June, missing the estimated growth of 0.6% by a big margin.

Pivot levels

    1. R3 0.6842
    2. R2 0.6822
    3. R1 0.679
  1. PP 0.677
    1. S1 0.6738
    2. S2 0.6718
    3. S3 0.6686

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds recovery gains near 1.3400 despite soft UK CPI data

GBP/USD clings to recovery gains near 1.3400 in European trading on Wednesday. The UK annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation cooled to 2.6% in June against the market forecast of 2.7%, failing to deter the British Pound's rebound from weekly troughs. However, the pair's further upside could be limited by ongoing Mideast tensions and sustained US Dollar demand as a haven.

EUR/USD gains ground above 1.1400 on hawkish ECB tone

The EUR/USD pair holds positive ground near 1.1410 during the early European trading hours, bolstered by a hawkish tone from the European Central Bank. However, the potential upside for the major pair might be limited amid escalating military tensions and recent retaliatory airstrikes between the US and Iran.

Gold: Strong recovery might face roadblock as oil price extends gains

Gold price extends its winning streak for the third trading day on Wednesday, trading 1.5% higher to near $4,140 during the Asian session. The precious metal recovered strongly in the past few trading days from its three-week low of $3,959.80 as traders scaled back Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike expectations for the monetary policy meeting next week.

Cardano: Short-term recovery lacks retail support

Cardano price edges lower after the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $1.770 capped two consecutive days of recovery seen earlier this week. ADA futures point to waning retail traction as Open Interest and trading volume decline amid elevated long liquidations. The technical outlook for ADA is bearish, as momentum remains subdued below a resistance trendline near $0.1782.

Chip stocks are more volatile than Oil

I continue to start the day by looking at these two charts: US crude & Kospi. The former is extending gains, trading above $86 per barrel for WTI and $92 per barrel for Brent, while the Kospi is up more than 4.5%, led higher by Korean chipmakers following a similar jump in VanEck's Semiconductor ETF yesterday.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.