|

AUD/USD: Positive tone with 0.7175 in focus – UOB

UOB analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note that AUD/USD surprised to the upside, reaching 0.7143 and closing around 0.7127. Intraday, they see room for a test of 0.7150 before pullback risks increase, with 0.7175 as the next resistance. On a 1–3 week horizon, the outlook remains constructive as long as support at 0.7055 holds.

Uptrend intact toward higher resistance

"We did not expect AUD to rise to a high of 0.7143 (we were expecting range-trading). Despite the relatively strong advance, upward momentum has not increased much."

"However, there is a chance for AUD to test 0.7150 before the risk of a pullback increases. The next resistance at 0.7175 is unlikely to come under threat."

"On the downside, support levels are at 0.7105 and 0.7085."

"However, the outlook remains positive, and the next level to monitor is 0.7175 (note that there is another resistance level at 0.7150). We will maintain our view as long as 0.7055 (‘strong support’ level was at 0.7015 yesterday) is not breached."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces off multi-month low, nears 0.6900

AUD/USD edges higher toward 0.6900 in the Asian session on Wednesday, recovering some of the previous day’s losses to its lowest level since March as the US Dollar stalls the hot US CPI-inspired rally amid hopes of a US-Iran peace deal. Meanwhile, hawkish comments from FOMC members have almost confirmed another December rate hike, which favors USD bulls and should cap the Aussie.

USD/JPY remains capped below 159.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY struggles to build on the previous day’s strong gains to a near one-month top as intervention risk supports the Japanese Yen while hopes of a US-Iran peace deal cap the safe-haven US Dollar. That keeps the pair's upside limited below 159.00, for now.

Gold sticks to gains near $4,050 amid steeper Fed rate hike bets

Gold clings to recovery gains near $4,050 in the European session on Wednesday. However, upside seems limited amid sustained US Dollar demand. Tuesday's hot US inflation figures fuel expectations of a more aggressive policy tightening by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). This helps the Greenback preserve recent strong gains, despite hopes for US-Iran diplomacy.

Bitcoin at risk of sharp moves as leverage builds in derivatives markets

Bitcoin remains in a capped tone, trading around $73,800 after slipping to a low of $72,727 following the previous day’s hot US inflation figures. Institutional demand continues to weaken, with BTC spot Exchange Traded Funds recording a $95 million outflow on Tuesday, marking the fourth straight day of withdrawals. Traders should be cautious as a K33 Research report highlights that BTC is at risk of sharp moves as leverage builds in derivatives markets.

Hot CPI helps cement December Fed hike as Nvidia slumps
October CPI inflation landed yesterday and beat expectations across the board. Note that we only received the MM figures because of last year’s government shutdown. Headline MM came in at 0.4%, beating the 0.3% forecast, though below September's 0.6%. Core MM also came in at 0.3%, slightly higher than the 0.2% estimate and matching the prior month’s reading.
What the US CPI headline doesn’t tell you about inflation

Brent crude has fallen about a third since mid-October on hopes the Iran war is ending, but diesel, freight and fertiliser costs haven't followed. Those costs reach US consumer prices in stages through 2027 and could keep inflation high after gasoline gets cheaper.