|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls gather momentum, consolidation ongoing

  • Daily chart indicators suggest a positive incline; RSI climbs up.
  • Hourly chart indicators flatten out in positive territory, indicating consolidation after recent gains.
  • The pair is seeing signs of bullish exhaustion after recent gains, with eyes set on support around the 103.60-103.80 area.

In Friday's trading session, the AUD/JPY pair soared to the 104.50 region owing to positive momentum, reinforcing expectations of an overall bullish landscape. However, the market's upward trajectory is showing signs of fatigue, and the pair has entered in a consolidation phase.

As per the daily chart, the RSI has ascended near to the 70 region, presenting a slight recovery from Wednesday's drop to 67, suggesting a potential halt to the previous downtrend. Corresponding with this, the MACD prints flat red bars, indicating a possible pause in the market's selling traction.

AUD/JPY daily chart

Confirming these dynamics is the hourly chart. The RSI and MACD are greener and have flattened, indicating a potential period of consolidation following the recent rally.

AUD/JPY hourly chart

In retrospect to the session on Thursday, sellers were repelled at the 20-day SMA mark of 103.60 and again on Friday at 103.80. These developments have set a formidable support base around that region, which appears could be leveraged to stabilize the recent gains. Any downturn below the 20-day SMA may risk undermining the short-term bullish atmosphere.

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price104.5
Today Daily Change0.48
Today Daily Change %0.46
Today daily open104.02
 
Trends
Daily SMA20103.44
Daily SMA50101.33
Daily SMA10099.48
Daily SMA20097.7
 
Levels
Previous Daily High104.26
Previous Daily Low103.36
Previous Weekly High104.56
Previous Weekly Low103.48
Previous Monthly High105.04
Previous Monthly Low97.78
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%103.7
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%103.91
Daily Pivot Point S1103.5
Daily Pivot Point S2102.98
Daily Pivot Point S3102.6
Daily Pivot Point R1104.4
Daily Pivot Point R2104.77
Daily Pivot Point R3105.29

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases from around 1.1800 after US GDP figures

The US Dollar is finding some near-term demand after the release of the US Q3 GDP. According to the report, the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 4.3% in the three months to September, well above the 3.3% forecast by market analysts.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD retreats from session highs and trades slightly below 1.3500 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar stages a rebound following the better-than-expected Q3 growth data, limiting the pair's upside ahead of the Christmas break.

Gold: Record rally sustains above $4,500 on safe-haven flows

Gold sustains the record-setting rally above $4,500 in the Asian session on Wednesday. The Israel-Iran conflict and the escalating US-Venezuela tensions boost safe-haven flows into Gold. Furthermore, US Q3 GDP data fails to lift the US Dollar amid growing bets for two Fed rate cuts in 2026, underpinning the non-yielding bullion. 

The crypto market is preparing us for a deeper global sell-off

The crypto market capitalisation fell by 1.4% to $2.97T, falling below the $3T mark once again. The market was unable to repeat the robust rebound from the local bottom, as it did after 23 November and 2 December, indicating increased pressure from sellers.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.