|

Will Bitcoin price test $20,000 again?

  • Bitcoin price shows a distributive pattern on the four-hour chart, hinting at a trend reversal.
  • Shorting BTC on a minor pullback to $23,215 is a good place to start, with $21,269 as the target.
  • Invalidation of this bearish outlook will occur on a four-hour candlestick close above $23,373.

Bitcoin price shows clear signs of distribution occurring on the four-hour chart, which indicates the possibility of a trend reversal. Moreover, BTC has been consolidating for more than two weeks with no direction in sight, making it a perfect place to form a local top.

Bitcoin price edges closer to a sell-off

Bitcoin price has produced all the signs required to confirm a distribution pattern. This formation occurs after a rally and indicates top formation, where investors that accumulated before or during the uptrend distribute or offload their holdings. 

The perfect place to short would be at $24,000 on February 1, when Bitcoin price swept the January 29 swing high at $23,966. This key liquidity run was a pivot point and BTC has shed roughly 6.30% so far.

Another confirmation of a downswing will occur after Bitcoin price breaches the daily support at $22,780 and flips the $22,277 support level into a resistance barrier. In such a case, BTC could slide lower to retest the next daily support at $21,269. In case the selling pressure persists here, the big crypto could tag the four-hour support level at $20,847.

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart

While the pessimistic outlook makes sense from a technical perspective, investors need to note that a flip of the $23,373 hurdle into a support floor will be key to denouce the bearish bias. This move in Bitcoin price will invalidate the bearish thesis and potentially trigger a run-up to the next key level at $23,496.

A decisive flip of the $25,000 psychological level would be key to continuing this ongoing rally. This high timeframe confirmation in Bitcoin price could trigger a run-up to $30,000.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.

Cardano struggles to extend gains as retail interest wanes despite Midnight's NIGHT token launch

Cardano ticks higher after a bearish weekend, struggling to extend an upcycle within a descending wedge pattern. On-chain data shows an increase in trading volume and user activity after the Midnight side chain token launch.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum recover as XRP remains supported by ETF inflows

Bitcoin is trending up toward the pivotal $90,000 level at the time of writing on Monday, which marks four consecutive days of gains. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, are also rebounding above key short-term support levels.

Bitcoin nears $90,000 as recovery hopes clash with institutional outflows

Bitcoin is approaching the $90,000 resistance level at the time of writing on Monday, raising hopes of a short-term recovery. However, the bullish recovery is being challenged by weakening institutional demand, as evidenced by outflows from Spot ETFs.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.