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Goldman says Fed may accelerate tapering from January: Report

Having kicked off the unwinding of the crisis-era stimulus this month, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) may accelerate the pace of the taper next year, according to a Bloomberg report citing a client note from Goldman Sachs.

  • The central bank will double the pace of scaling back its liquidity-boosting asset purchases to $30 billion per month from the current $15 billion, Goldman economists said, predicting three rate hikes in 2022 and two in 2023.

  • The new projections mean the asset purchase program would end in March.

  • The investment banking giant expects the first rate hike from near zero in June of next year.

  • “The increased openness to accelerating the taper pace likely reflects both somewhat higher-than-expected inflation over the last two months and greater comfort among Fed officials that a faster pace would not shock financial markets,” economists led by Jan Hatzius noted.

  • The Fed cut rates to near zero and began purchasing assets worth $120 billion per month following the coronavirus-induced crash of March 2020.

  • The massive liquidity injections led to unprecedented risk-taking across all corners of the financial market, including bitcoin.

  • Minutes from the Fed’s November meeting released Wednesday showed a growing number of policymakers were ready to speed up the taper and raise interest rates if inflation continues to run high.

  • Faster unwinding of stimulus, if any, may weigh over bitcoin, which remains vulnerable to fed tightening, and asset prices, in general. The cryptocurrency fell almost 7% on Friday, amid a massive pullback in the financial markets, as concerns over a new coronavirus variant dampened risk appetite.

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CoinDesk Analysis Team

CoinDesk is the media platform for the next generation of investors exploring how cryptocurrencies and digital assets are contributing to the evolution of the global financial system.

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