|

Ethereum price set to test $2,250 before ETH moves even lower

  • Ethereum price action may complete a move that has only occurred twice in its history.
  • An extremely bearish setup could see ETH return to the $1,800 value area.
  • Upside potential is severely limited.

Ethereum price displays some of the most bearish price action observed since the Covid crash in 2020. Unless bulls step in to support price, a repeat of the 2018 bear market may be just beginning.

Ethereum price positioned for a massive collapse in value

Ethereum price action, from an Ichimoku perspective, is displaying one of the single most bearish short setups in the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo System. That setup is known as the Ideal Bearish Ichimoku Breakout. Only twice in Ethereum’s history has this setup appeared.

The first Ideal Bearish Ichimoku Breakout occurred the week of June 25, 2018, resulting in an 82% drop to $80 over 162 days. The second occurrence was the week of March 9, 2020, when Ethereum price lost nearly 60% over a two-week period when it returned to $90.

Unless something changes before the close of the weekly candlestick, Ethereum price will confirm an Ideal Bearish Ichimoku Breakout. If that bearish scenario plays out, then the first major price zone that bears will likely face buyers is the confluence zone of the 100% Fibonacci expansion at $1,600 and the 2021 Volume Point of Control at $1,700.

If bulls want any reprieve from the likely selling pressure, they may have to wait. There is little evidence in the oscillators or in the price chart to suggest that any meaningful rally would occur. Ethereum price is at the mercy of the broader risk-on market, which unfortunately has shifted to risk-off.

Author

Jonathan Morgan

Jonathan Morgan

Independent Analyst

Jonathan has been working as an Independent future, forex, and cryptocurrency trader and analyst for 8 years. He also has been writing for the past 5 years.

More from Jonathan Morgan
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ripple recovery runs into headwinds amid fading retail and institutional interest

Ripple (XRP) holds slightly above $1.30 on Monday, with short-term recovery prospects fading. Strong structural resistance toward $1.40 continues to cap upside, raising the risk of further downside below $1.30.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP extend recovery despite ETFs outflows

Bitcoin edges higher above $82,000, building strong structural support despite roughly $229 million in ETF outflows last week. Ethereum recovers above $2,400 as bulls strive to regain trend control, backed by a subtle recovery in momentum indicators.

Pi Network Price Forecast: Weak momentum and waning demand reinforce downside bias

Pi Network edges lower on Monday, risking a bearish conclusion to its short-term consolidation above the $0.0774 horizontal support. A steady decline in the notional value of active PI futures contracts and the weekly spot trading volume suggests reduced retail demand.

Zcash Price Forecast: Downside risk looms as ETF outflows and falling Open Interest weigh

Zcash (ZEC) edges higher on Monday after three consecutive weeks of bearish closes totaling roughly 30% losses. The privacy coin is losing institutional confidence with three straight weeks of outflows, while retail speculation eases as ZEC futures Open Interest declines to a 30-day low.

Bitcoin: Macroeconomic headwinds, cooling demand cap BTC gains
Bitcoin (BTC) extends losses this week, trading below $82,500 as of Friday as selling pressure continues. Weakening institutional demand supports this pullback as BTC spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to record a two-week withdrawal streak, reaching $146.19 million in net outflows through Thursday.