|

Cardano Price Forecast: ADA extends losses as bearish signals emerge

  • Cardano price extends losses after failing to reclaim the key technical barrier earlier this week.
  • On-chain and derivatives data support a mildly bearish picture, with declining social dominance and rising short positions among traders.
  • The technical outlook shows early bearish signals in momentum indicators, suggesting a deeper correction.

Cardano (ADA) price is trading at $0.244 on Thursday after falling over 3% so far this week. ADA’s on-chain and derivatives data hint at a mild bearish tilt with declining social dominance and increasing short bets. On the technical side, momentum indicators signal early bearish signs, suggesting deeper losses for ADA.

On-chain and derivatives metrics support a bearish picture

Santiment’s Social Dominance metric for Cardano supports a bearish outlook. The index measures the share of ADA-related discussions across the cryptocurrency media. It fell sharply, reading 0.084% on Thursday and has remained in a downward trend since early April. This fall indicates fading market interest and weakening sentiment among ADA investors.

Cardano social dominance chart. Source: Santiment

On the derivatives side, Cardano traders’ short bets continue to remain strong. CoinGlass’ long-to-short ratio for ADA reads 0.88 on Thursday and has mostly remained in the red territory since early April. This ratio, being below one, reflects bearish sentiment in the market, as more traders are betting on the asset’s price to fall.

Cardano long-to-short ratio chart Source: Coinglass

Cardano Price Forecast: Fails to reclaim key technical barrier

Cardano price is trading at $0.244 on Thursday after failing to close above the key 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.256 earlier this week. Moreover, ADA is maintaining a broadly bearish tone as price holds well below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day EMAs, which are clustered between $0.256 and $0.374.

ADA is hovering just above horizontal support at $0.243, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near 46 and a flat Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) around the zero line hints at subdued momentum rather than an imminent trend reversal.

On the downside, immediate demand is seen at the horizontal floor around $0.243, with the Fibonacci anchor near $0.220 providing a deeper support area if selling pressure resumes.

On the topside, initial resistance comes at the 50-day EMA near $0.256, followed by the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at $0.269 and the 100-day EMA around $0.289; beyond that, a broader supply band emerges between the horizontal barrier at $0.299.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Author

Manish Chhetri

Manish Chhetri is a crypto specialist with over four years of experience in the cryptocurrency industry.

More from Manish Chhetri
Share:

Editor's Picks

NEAR Protocol Price Forecast: NEAR rebounds on the launch of India’s biggest IPO, Jio Platforms perps

NEAR Protocol price ticks higher extending its roughly 3% rebound from the previous day. NEAR Intents launched confidential trading of India’s biggest IPO, Jio Platforms, perpetual contracts on Tuesday. Institutional investors' activity shows mild profit-taking after nearly $5 million in outflows on Tuesday.

Top 3 Price Predictions: BTC, ETH and XRP recover as Big Tech earnings take center stage

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple extend their recovery on Wednesday as investors turn their attention to major technology companies' earnings reports. Microsoft and Alphabet are due to report their Q3 earnings on Wednesday, followed by Amazon on Thursday.

Pepe Price Forecast: PEPE climbs as Justin Sun-linked wallets spark bullish sentiment

Pepe surges over 15% so far this week, trading above $0.00000494 as bulls remain in control. Improving derivatives metrics and rising social dominance signal bullish sentiment, amid reports that Justin Sun-linked wallets hold almost 3% of the PEPE supply. In addition, strengthening bullish momentum suggests further upside for the meme coin.

Ethereum ETFs near record monthly outflows as ETH tests $2,310
Ethereum (ETH) held steady on Tuesday, consolidating at $2,340, just above $2,300 after last week’s decline. Three measures sit within about $18 of each other: ETH’s realized price at $2,310, the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,315, and the $2,328 average cost basis of wallets holding 1K-10K ETH.
Bitcoin extends pullback as ETF inflows clash with risk-off sentiment

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading around $81,800 on Friday, recording modest losses so far this week. Despite a mild pullback, institutional demand showed signs of a comeback with spot Exchange Traded Funds recording $442.67 million in net inflows through Thursday.