|

Cardano Price Forecast: ADA extends losses as bearish signals emerge

  • Cardano price extends losses after failing to reclaim the key technical barrier earlier this week.
  • On-chain and derivatives data support a mildly bearish picture, with declining social dominance and rising short positions among traders.
  • The technical outlook shows early bearish signals in momentum indicators, suggesting a deeper correction.

Cardano (ADA) price is trading at $0.244 on Thursday after falling over 3% so far this week. ADA’s on-chain and derivatives data hint at a mild bearish tilt with declining social dominance and increasing short bets. On the technical side, momentum indicators signal early bearish signs, suggesting deeper losses for ADA.

On-chain and derivatives metrics support a bearish picture

Santiment’s Social Dominance metric for Cardano supports a bearish outlook. The index measures the share of ADA-related discussions across the cryptocurrency media. It fell sharply, reading 0.084% on Thursday and has remained in a downward trend since early April. This fall indicates fading market interest and weakening sentiment among ADA investors.

Cardano social dominance chart. Source: Santiment

On the derivatives side, Cardano traders’ short bets continue to remain strong. CoinGlass’ long-to-short ratio for ADA reads 0.88 on Thursday and has mostly remained in the red territory since early April. This ratio, being below one, reflects bearish sentiment in the market, as more traders are betting on the asset’s price to fall.

Cardano long-to-short ratio chart Source: Coinglass

Cardano Price Forecast: Fails to reclaim key technical barrier

Cardano price is trading at $0.244 on Thursday after failing to close above the key 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.256 earlier this week. Moreover, ADA is maintaining a broadly bearish tone as price holds well below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day EMAs, which are clustered between $0.256 and $0.374.

ADA is hovering just above horizontal support at $0.243, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near 46 and a flat Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) around the zero line hints at subdued momentum rather than an imminent trend reversal.

On the downside, immediate demand is seen at the horizontal floor around $0.243, with the Fibonacci anchor near $0.220 providing a deeper support area if selling pressure resumes.

On the topside, initial resistance comes at the 50-day EMA near $0.256, followed by the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at $0.269 and the 100-day EMA around $0.289; beyond that, a broader supply band emerges between the horizontal barrier at $0.299.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Author

Manish Chhetri

Manish Chhetri is a crypto specialist with over four years of experience in the cryptocurrency industry.

More from Manish Chhetri
Share:

Editor's Picks

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC retreats as macro headwinds grow
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, down over 4% this week and trading around $76,900 at the time of writing on Friday. Institutional demand shows signs of weakness as spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to end their three-week inflow streak, recording nearly $500 million in net outflows through Thursday.
XRP falls toward key support as macro uncertainty, weak momentum cap recovery
Ripple (XRP) falls below $1.33 on Friday, marking the third consecutive day of declines. The token continues to track the broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with investors closely monitoring heightened macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and next week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP stabilize at lower levels amid ETF outflows and macroeconomic risks
The broader cryptocurrency market is rising on Friday, with Bitcoin (BTC) trading above $77,000 after testing lower support near $76,500. Ethereum (ETH) shows signs of stability, hovering above the support provided at $2,400 despite capped upside at $2,500. Meanwhile, Ripple (XRP) holds above $1.33 after three straight days of declines, reflecting growing headwinds due to macroeconomic uncertainty.
Bitcoin pulls back as another golden cross fails to deliver
Earlier this week, Bitcoin formed a golden cross, a technical signal that occurs when the price’s 50-day moving average rises above the 200-day moving average and is conventionally viewed as a precursor to a bullish rally. Historically, however, that’s often not been the case.
Bitcoin: BTC retreats as macro headwinds grow
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, down over 4% this week and trading around $76,900 at the time of writing on Friday. Institutional demand shows signs of weakness as spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to end their three-week inflow streak, recording nearly $500 million in net outflows through Thursday.