|

Bitcoin remains under pressure despite short-term recovery

Bitcoin is coming down very nicely in 2026. We can see a pretty strong and extended decline over the last month or so, especially since price also broke through the corrective channel support near 71k, which confirmed that the recovery from the February lows unfolded as a counter trend movement and in three waves. We can see that price already retested the lows of the year before the current rebound appeared, which now still looks like it can be a wave four rally as part of an ongoing and incomplete impulsive decline. We see broken channel support now, so this weakness can send prices even lower into wave five, closer to 55k, maybe even 50k, which could be a very important support level for Bitcoin this year.

So for now it still looks like, despite the current rebound, that the higher degree downtrend may not be finished yet.

Looking at the daily chart, it looks like wave (C) is already in progress after the recent (B) wave correction, unless wave (B) is going to be larger and more complex. The key support remains around the 50k-48k area.


Get Full Access To Our Premium Elliott Wave Analysis For 14 Days. Click here.

Author

Gregor Horvat

Gregor Horvat

Wavetraders

Experience Grega is based in Slovenia and has been in the Forex market since 2003.

More from Gregor Horvat
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP approaches key support as risk-off sentiment deepens
Ripple (XRP) is trading at $1.06 on Monday, maintaining its position within a broader bearish trend. The token’s technical outlook continues to deteriorate, pressured by declining retail participation. Appetite for risk assets remains lethargic, as reflected in the Fear & Greed Index, which is embedded in the Fear territory at 28.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP extend decline amid renewed risk-averse sentiment
The cryptocurrency market remains weak on Monday, with Bitcoin (BTC) falling toward the nearest $62,000. Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) reflect the sell-off across altcoins, edging lower toward $1,800 and $1.05, respectively. Risk appetite remains subdued, as the Fear & Greed Index holds steady at 28, deep within Fear territory.
The Bitcoin futures yield collapse: Once over 20%, now less than Treasury notes
Once a goldmine for carry traders, Bitcoin futures have flipped, consistently underperforming plain‑vanilla U.S. Treasuries every month since February. Carry trades consistently yielded 20% or more across regulated and unregulated crypto exchanges during the 2021 bull market. The strategy involved shorting Bitcoin futures while simultaneously buying a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF).
The crypto market is moving in the opposite direction to equities
The crypto market’s market capitalisation has fallen by 1% over the past 24 hours, returning to levels last seen in mid-July. The positive momentum the market showed in the first half of last week failed to take hold. Once again, we are seeing a negative correlation with the Nasdaq 100 index, this time in the form of falling cryptocurrencies while shares rise. Could this be becoming the new norm?
Bitcoin: Bulls hold the line
Bitcoin (BTC) edges slightly lower, trading at $64,300 at the time of writing on Friday but holding firmly above a key support zone. US-listed spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) support BTC as they continued to attract institutional flows through Thursday, pointing to the fourth consecutive week of net inflows.