|

Bitcoin Market Forecast: Can BTC/USD recover and crack $10,000?

  • Bitcoin briefly dipped below $9,000 but has managed to recover and it’s trading at $9,450 at the time of writing.
  • BTC/USD is fighting to stay above the daily 12-EMA and the 26-EMA.

Bitcoin was able to form a bullish reversal candlestick on June 15. Today, on June 16, Bitcoin has seen some continuation but was rejected from $9,600 and it’s currently trading at $9,453 below the 12-EMA at $9,513. Buyers are looking forward to a climb above both EMAs which are close to a bear cross. 

What’s driving Bitcoin’s recent price action?

It seems that most of Bitcoin’s latest price action has been heavily influenced by the global stock market. The S&P 500 had a crash on June 10 and Bitcoin quickly followed the index on June 11 with a similar crash. The price surge we saw yesterday on June 15 also happened after the S&P 500 started to recover. Bitcoin has correlated with the stock market again, but it’s unclear how long the correlation will last this time. 

Bitcoin has been more volatile in the past week and when it comes to fundamental metrics, it is doing really well. CME Bitcoin options saw a record of $373 million in open interest on June 10. The institutional interest in Bitcoin is clearly increasing and it’s even better because the price of Bitcoin hasn’t been that great lately. 

The FED has also announced another stimulus that intends to buy up to $250 billion in individual corporate bonds. The stock market is climbing thanks to it and it seems that Bitcoin is following suit.

BTC/USD daily chart

BTCUSD

Author

Lorenzo Stroe

Lorenzo Stroe

Independent Analyst

Lorenzo is an experienced Technical Analyst and Content Writer who has been working in the cryptocurrency industry since 2012. He also has a passion for trading.

More from Lorenzo Stroe
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.