XAG/USD faces rejection at 0.5 arc – Potential pullback to 4,119 before rebound toward 4,167

Mohamad Gharib Independent Analyst

XAU/USD: Arc cycle analysis™

Overview: Based on Arc Cycle Analysis applied to the 2h chart, Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar is interacting with the 0.5 Resistance Arc within the current Arc Cycle. Bullish momentum has faded near this boundary, indicating that the upper Arc continues to cap upside expansion in the near term.

Market outlook

The 0.5 Arc continues to act as a resistance boundary, capping upside expansion. Bullish attempts have stalled beneath the Resistance Arc, indicating that the resistance remains intact and favoring a near-term pullback toward 4,119, close to the 0.382 Support Arc.

If price holds at 4,119, a rebound toward the 0.5 Arc at 4,167 becomes the preferred scenario. Conversely, a sustained 2h close below 4,077 would invalidate this scenario and open the path toward the next Support Arc at 0.236.

Author

Mohamad Gharib

Independent Analyst

Mohamad Gharib is a Financial Markets Analyst and Quantitative Researcher with more than 18 years of experience in financial markets, including 15 years as an FX Quant Trader.

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