USDX price outlook: US Dollar Index holds above 0.618 support Arc, potential rebound toward 99.22

Mohamad Gharib Independent Analyst

US Dollar Index (USDX): Arc cycle analysis

Overview: Based on Arc Cycle Analysis applied to the 2h chart, the US Dollar Index is interacting with the 0.618 Support Arc within the current Arc Cycle. Price is holding above this Support Arc, suggesting the potential for a bullish rebound toward the next Resistance Arc.

Metric	Reading
Market Bias	Neutral-Bullish
Preferred Scenario	Potential Rebound / Advance Toward the Next Resistance Arc
Primary Target Zone	99.22
Scenario Invalidation	Sustained close below 98.75
Current Arc Level	Support Arc (0.618)
Cycle Status	Testing Support Arc
Arc Integrity	Strong

Market outlook

Price is holding above the 0.618 Support Arc, indicating that this Arc continues to provide support within the current Arc Cycle. If the Support Arc continues to hold, a rebound toward 99.22 price becomes the preferred scenario.

Conversely, a sustained 2h close below the Support Arc at 98.75 would invalidate the bullish scenario and shift the outlook toward the next Support Arc.

Author

Mohamad Gharib

Independent Analyst

Mohamad Gharib is a Financial Markets Analyst and Quantitative Researcher with more than 18 years of experience in financial markets, including 15 years as an FX Quant Trader.

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