US10Y price outlook: US government bonds 10 YR yield navigating between arc levels
US government bonds 10 YR yield (US10Y): Arc cycle analysis
Overview: Based on Arc Cycle Analysis applied to the 1W chart, the 10-Year US Treasury Yield have cleared the 0.786 Arc boundary and are progressing toward the 1 (100%) Arc, suggesting continued movement toward the next Arc expansion level..
Metric | Reading |
Market Bias | Bullish |
Preferred Scenario | Potential Continuation |
Primary Target Zone | 5.00% |
Scenario Invalidation | Sustained close back below 3.75% |
Current Arc Level | In Transit Between Arcs |
Cycle Status | Mid-Cycle Migration Phase |
Arc Integrity | Neutral |
Market outlook
Yields is progressing through the current Arc Cycle toward the next Arc boundary. If momentum continues, the preferred scenario is continued movement toward the Target price 5.00% .
Conversely, a sustained 1W close back below the 3.75% would invalidate the continuation scenario and could shift the outlook toward the Previous Arc Cycle.
Author
Mohamad Gharib
Independent Analyst
Mohamad Gharib is a Financial Markets Analyst and Quantitative Researcher with more than 18 years of experience in financial markets, including 15 years as an FX Quant Trader.
