|

UK ekes out £2.1bn goods trade surplus in 2024 with US as it looks to avoid tariffs

2024 UK Trade Data reveals a balanced trading relationship with the US, boosting tariff avoidance hopes.

The latest ONS trade data published this morning reveals that across 2024, the UK exported £58.7 billion in goods to the US, 3.6% or £2.1 billion more than the £56.6 billion total value of goods it imported from the US.

While the data show that the UK currently is in surplus with the US, it still demonstrates a broadly balanced relationship when it comes to goods.

The latest figures reinforce the 2023 trade in goods surplus of £2.5 billion and mark the continuation of a goods surplus with the US since 1999 - with the exception of 2022 when the UK had a deficit of £1.9 billion due to an increase in gas imports (Ukraine-Russia energy crisis).

Samuel Edwards, Head of Dealing at global financial services firm Ebury, commented: “Analysis of today’s trade data shows that 2024 saw the UK holding a £2.1 billion trade in goods surplus with the US.

The small size of the surplus, especially in comparison with many of the United States’ trading partners, is likely to support hopes from the Government that the UK can minimise or avoid any potential tariffs imposed by President Trump.

We are already seeing the impacts of the 25% steel and aluminium tariffs on our client base, forcing difficult conversations about staff and production costs. Any further measures could see the pain spread into other key sectors in the UK at a time of economic uncertainty and stuttering economic growth.

In this fraught environment, we would urge businesses to consider implementing robust hedging strategies to minimise their FX risk exposure, and to ensure ready access to finance to weather any storms, whether they be domestic or from overseas.

Author

Matthew Ryan, CFA

Matthew is Global Head of Market Strategy at FX specialist Ebury, where he has been part of the strategy team since 2014. He provides fundamental FX analysis for a wide range of G10 and emerging market currencies.

More from Matthew Ryan, CFA
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.